Paul Krugman Profile picture
Nobel laureate. Op-Ed columnist, @nytopinion. Author, “The Return of Depression Economics,” “The Great Unraveling,” "Arguing With Zombies," + more.

Sep 27, 2020, 5 tweets

National polls out today from NYT and WaPo; both very good for Biden. One interesting thing from WaPo (NYT didn't ask this question, as far as I can see) is that Trump has lost the advantage on the economy: candidates tied on who's best 1/ washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-…

He never deserved this advantage in the first place. As I noted the other day, independent analyses suggest a better economy under Biden 2/

And nothing in the historical record suggests that Rs are better than Ds for the economy. Actually the reverse 3/

But if he isn't favored on the economy, and faces high disapproval on just about everything else, how can Trump have a chance? The answer is that he still might (a) squeak through the electoral college or (b) manage to steal the election 4/

The fact that both (a) and (b) are real possibilities tells us that even if Biden wins, it will only be because Trump inspired enough revulsion to overcome a deeply corrupted system. We may avoid disaster this time, but we are not OK 5/

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