Michael Wagener Profile picture
Close to a jack of all trades Pastor ⛪ Builder🔨 Teacher 📚 Statistician 📈 Musician 🎶 Cricket writer🏏 Sound technician 🎛 Tweets are my own etc.

Sep 27, 2020, 8 tweets

I'm going to make a few comments on Rahul Tewatia's innings, because, statistically, it's really interesting.

First of all, the rate of acceleration was astounding.

I find that breaking T20 innings into 15 ball groups is often really informative. It's very, very informative here.

Another good technique is to look at using exponential smoothing to look at a batsman's scoring rate. For Tewatia's innings, his smoothed rate is astoundingly low at the start, then astoundingly high at the end.

Breaking it up into 5 ball groups also tells a story in this innings

And it wasn't like he wasn't showing intent. Of his 31 balls, he was trying to hit a boundary off 28 of them. He defended his first ball, and tried to hit singles off two others of his first 6 balls. The difference from the start to the finish was more execution than intent.

He scored faster against pace than spin, but some of that may have been that he faced pace at the end of his innings. He accelerated against both.

One key takeaway from this, however, is that he probably should bat a bit more sensibly in his first 15 balls.

If he'd been trying to hit singles more often earlier, rather than trying to biff everything, he may have been on 12(15) rather than 6(15) before he started connecting.

The end of his innings was certainly dramatic, but it's hard to see that that's likely to be repeatable too often. A more sensible start would create less pressure on himself and everyone else.

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