Judd Legum Profile picture
I write Popular Information, an independent newsletter dedicated to accountability journalism. | judd@popular.info | Signal: juddlegum.47 | DMs open

Sep 27, 2020, 5 tweets

1. There is so much emphasis by Biden and outside groups on courting disaffected Republicans

There was an entire day of the Democratic National Convention devoted to it

But there is really no evidence that the appeal is working

REPUBLICANS REALLY LIKE TRUMP

Let's review

2. The national NYT poll out today shows that Biden is currently attracting 6 PERCENT of Republican voters.

That's similar to the 4% of Democrats who support Trump.

And less than the 8% of Republicans who supported Clinton in 2015, according to exit polls

3. There are a few high-profile Republicans on Twitter who don't like Trump, but they are not at all representative of Republicans as a whole.

The same NYT poll finds that 93% of Republicans approve of Trump

That's after tens of millions of people lost their jobs and 200K died

4. The idea that "Republicans of principles" will abandon Trump is a fantasy.

If what's happened over the last 3+ years wasn't enough to persuade a significant portion of Republicans to support Biden what is going to happen in the next 45 days?

5. To everyone responding that there are much fewer Republicans today, that is not backed up by the data.

Gallup found 27% of voters identified as Republican in November 2016.

Today? 29%

news.gallup.com/poll/15370/par…

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