Judd Legum Profile picture
Sep 27, 2020 5 tweets 1 min read Read on X
1. There is so much emphasis by Biden and outside groups on courting disaffected Republicans

There was an entire day of the Democratic National Convention devoted to it

But there is really no evidence that the appeal is working

REPUBLICANS REALLY LIKE TRUMP

Let's review
2. The national NYT poll out today shows that Biden is currently attracting 6 PERCENT of Republican voters.

That's similar to the 4% of Democrats who support Trump.

And less than the 8% of Republicans who supported Clinton in 2015, according to exit polls
3. There are a few high-profile Republicans on Twitter who don't like Trump, but they are not at all representative of Republicans as a whole.

The same NYT poll finds that 93% of Republicans approve of Trump

That's after tens of millions of people lost their jobs and 200K died
4. The idea that "Republicans of principles" will abandon Trump is a fantasy.

If what's happened over the last 3+ years wasn't enough to persuade a significant portion of Republicans to support Biden what is going to happen in the next 45 days?
5. To everyone responding that there are much fewer Republicans today, that is not backed up by the data.

Gallup found 27% of voters identified as Republican in November 2016.

Today? 29%

news.gallup.com/poll/15370/par…

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More from @JuddLegum

Mar 12
1. CONSUMERS paid most of Trump's tariffs, which the Supreme Court ruled were illegal.

But CORPORATIONS will receive the refunds.

Will they pass that cash back to consumers? Or pocket the money?

We asked them.

🧵
2. Popular.info contacted 18 companies that: 1. Admitted they raised consumer prices due to tariffs, and 2. Sued for tariff refunds.

We asked whether they would compensate customers via refunds or discounts.

popular.info/p/consumers-pa…
3. These are the companies we contacted:

Abercrombie & Fitch
Columbia Sportswear
GoPro
Uniqlo
Steve Madden
Crocs
EssilorLuxottica (Ray-Ban)
Lululemon
Deckers (UGG, Hoka)
Dollar General
Trek
Yeti
Helly Hansen
Brooks Running
Allbirds
Dyson
Puma
Nintendo
Read 5 tweets
Mar 9
WE STILL DON'T HAVE A CLEAR ANSWER ON THE MOST BASIC QUESTION ABOUT THE IRAN WAR

WHY did the U.S. go to war?

A Popular Information review of public statements over the last 9 days found 17 DIFFERENT EXPLAINATIONS. Many of which contradict each other.

🧵
Here is a sampling:

1. Iran’s nuclear program was “obliterated” last June, but the U.S. started the war because Iran refused to abandon its “nuclear ambitions.”

popular.info/p/9-days-in-th…
2. Absent an attack, Iran would have had a nuclear weapon within two weeks. Image
Read 10 tweets
Mar 4
1.Internal emails from Liberty University Law School, obtained by Popular Information, reveal how the Trump admin hires interns.

Students were informed about "exciting" legal internships at Labor Department.

“You MUST be aligned politically with President Trump… GPA is not a strong factor.”
2. The email stressed that those accepted into the program “will make incredible connections that will payoff [sic] later.” The internship “could lead to a full-time job offer for after your 2027 graduation.”

popular.info/p/the-meritocr…
3. Green stressed that anyone interested in the DOL legal internship should “ABSOLUTELY apply” because “the person conducting the interviews is Vittoria D’Addesi, a 2025 graduate of Liberty Law, along with a representative of the White House Liaison Office.” Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 3
1. The Iran War has already claimed the lives of 6 U.S. soldiers, hundreds of Iranians, and dozens of people in neighboring countries.

For others, it's been a money-making opportunity.
2. Six newly-created accounts on the prediction market Polymarket raked in nearly $1 million by betting that the U.S. would strike Iran by February 28.

The White House says no one in "Trump's orbit" placed bets.

popular.info/p/the-casino-f…
3. Overall, “$529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the strikes” on Polymarket.

Moving forward, Polymarket is offering dozens of markets on war-related developments. Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 2
1. According to multiple reports both Saudi Arabia and the UAE lobbied Trump to attack Iran.

Both countries have increased their influence with Trump by investing billions in projects that personally enrich Trump and his son-in-law, Jared Kushner.
2. Trump installed Kushner as a top negotiator.

Kushner and Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff participated in a mediation session with their Iranian counterparts on Thursday, billed as a last-ditch effort to avoid war.

popular.info/p/the-money-be…
3. In 2021, Saudi Arabia invested $2 billion in Kushner's private equity fund and has paid him $125 million+ in management fees.

The Saudis also partnered with Kushner to purchase video game maker EA, the largest leveraged buyout in history.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 24
1.

FACT: Trump’s new tariffs are just as illegal as his old tariffs

But numerous media outlets are spreading false information about the law — and Trump is benefiting.

Let's break it down.

popular.info/p/trumps-new-t…
2. Several prominent outlets falsely reported that the Trade Act of 1974 gives Trump the legal authority to impose temporary tariffs of up to 15% in response to *trade deficits*

THIS IS NOT TRUE Image
Image
3. Section 122 of the Trade Act gives the president the authority to temporarily impose tariffs in response to “large and serious United States balance-of-payments deficits,” not trade deficits. The United States does not have a balance-of-payments deficit, much less a large and serious one.
Read 9 tweets

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