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Build. Share. We invest intelligently in ourselves so that we may share with the world. | Owner - Clayton P. Cobb (@warrtalon) | https://t.co/2qN11O1Wvf

Sep 28, 2020, 5 tweets

US Update: 9/28/20

Graph 1: Daily Deaths + Current Hospitalizations

- Hospitalizations bottomed out. Increase by 824 Week-over-Week (WoW)
- Hosps < 1/2 of peak
- Reported Deaths down 20 WoW.

*Still a LOT of legacy death laundering (very old deaths counted as new)

/1

Graph 2: COVID ICU Census vs. Deaths (7DayAvg) vs. Daily Detected Cases

***Case hunting still in hyperdrive

- 7-Day-Avg Reported Deaths down 33 WoW
- ICUs no longer dropping
- Date of Death curve is now far below the early July low point

/2

Graph 3: Daily Tests + Detected Cases + Case Positivity

***Why are so many being tested daily, and who are they? CLI is at a national record low

- Test Positivity no change WoW
- Tests down 99k WoW
- Detected Cases down 1,000 WoW
- 4.4% Positivity yesterday

/3

Graph 4: Coronavirus - Census for Hospitalizations vs. ICUs vs. Ventilators

***Hosps/ICU bottomed out - stopped declining

- Hosps up 824 W-o-W
- ICUs up 65 W-o-W
- Vents down 66 W-o-W

*Vents at lowest point by far

/4

Graphs 5: Daily Estimated Cases vs. Deaths

Heavy testing is working hard to keep the Detected Cases up, but the low Positivity is fighting back.

Hospitalizations and CLI do not match Case Detection.

Notice how the late June/Early July area of the death curve keeps rising

/END

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