The @ONS is producing some terrific analysis regarding COVID-19. Today's release provides some maybe predictable, and some maybe surprising, findings regarding the recent spread. Let's start with deprivation. 1/7
We know that in the first wave, the virus took a greater toll on those from more deprived areas, both in terms of incidence and outcomes. But there's a very clear reverse now for incidence, with the most affluent areas driving the increase. 2/7
Digging a bit deeper, it's also clear that it is those under 35 and are more affluent for whom infectivity is rising quickest. For over 35's there's not much difference by deprivation. 3/7
The ONS then cuts it another way. We know that in total ethnic groups have seen a much faster increase in infectivity. But when we segment by age, we see that of late it's white <35s only that is rising steeply. The curve for <35s minorities is falling back. 4/7
This next one is less surprising. When analysing the number of contacts one has, (even when the respondent says they have been socially distancing), the more you have, the more the infection rate increases quickly. But this is only true for <35s. 5/7
Finally, those that travelled abroad recently are showing a much steeper rise in infectivity. There will no doubt be a correlation with affluence and age, but nevertheless, the link would appear clear. 6/7
Whilst there are many aspects of the state's response to the pandemic that can be questioned, the ONS continues to produce clear, relevant and timely information that is very insightful. Thanks to all at @ONS, not least @NickStripe_ONS. 7/7 ENDS
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