Biden by 5 among likely voters, per Monmouth, 50 to 45 percent. One of Trump's better national polls, though not meaningfully off of the 7 pt average. monmouth.edu/polling-instit…
I don't really agree with some of the replies about Monmouth usually tilting to the right, btw. Here are their national numbers so far this cycle:
And Monmouth's national polls and state polls simply aren't alike. They're not methodologically comparable. For the purposes of house effects and so on, they may as well be two completely different firms
Their state polls are off of lists of registered voters--like Times/Siena polls. They're weighted by party and screen on prior turnout.
The national polls are random-digit-dialing of all adults, like an ABC/Post poll. They weight on census demos and screen on self-reported reg.
The ABC post poll is good and I don't think there's anything wrong with Monmouth's methodology. I'm just saying that I don't think you can draw inferences about the lean of their national poll based on their state polls and vice versa
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