This is the second recent poll that has Biden up nine in PA. The RCP average is now 5.7. He's starting to pull away there.
Which makes Florida - once again - the most interesting and potentially decisive swing state in the union. Just about a one point gap there. realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/pr…
If he locks down Pennsylvania, Biden is in a decent spot to win without Florida. However, with 29 electoral votes and such tight margins, it's still worth watching. Biden would need two other tossup states if Trump can take Florida.
Wisconsin looks pretty solidly blue at this point. Despite a lot of coverage, Texas has only been looking redder. Those two aren't really tossups in my mind at this point.
Biden pulling away in PA is very crucial. If that holds it leaves Trump in a spot where he basically needs to get a straight flush of all the swing states.
All if that being said, many Dems I talk to are absolutely worried about legal drama and challenges from Trump even if he's clearly lost. A lot of progressives win't feel safe without a massive landslide that's clear on election night.
Biden's lead in Ohio is also solidifying but still very tight. If he can take Ohio, PA, and Wisconsin, he's got it no matter what happens in Florida or anywhere else. Wisconsin looks very likely for him and PA is starting to get there too.
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