Choosing between Salah or KDB for captaincy #GW4? Here are some last minute thoughts and advice {THREAD}👇🏻🤓
#FPL #FPLCommunity
Yonkers’ research confirms the theory many of us had that Salah in fact is better for fpl when he’s playing without Mané.
Foomni’s algorithm supports this view as well
KDB is slightly more likely to get a single return according to bookies but goals are worth materially more than assists for mids which gives Salah an edge overall. Mo is more likely than KDB to score from open play and both are on pens.
The following stats are based on results vs bottom 8 opponents in 19/20. Salah had more blanks but also more hauls than KDB.
This trend was most noticeable for Mo in the away games vs ’bottom 8’, where he had only blanks and hauls, no single returns. This is relevant because he’s playing a probable bottom 8 team GW4.
Mo pts away vs bottom 8 in 19/20:
AVL - 2
NOR - 3
WAT - 2
BOU - 13
WHU - 14
BHA - 18
The 4 points prediction models I’ve seen also all have Mo for highest expected points this GW. And Pool are in better form than City. KDB also didn’t take a lot of set pieces last PL game for whatever reason.
My initial thought of captaining KDB over Mo were based on the following factors:
- KDB an arguably better away player than Mo.
- Leeds game is going to be more open than AVL who might go for a more ’park the bus’ approach.
KDB still the safer pick for me for these reasons...
But Salah more explosive in my opinion. Thanks for reading and GL with your decision. Who are you going for?
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