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Build. Share. We invest intelligently in ourselves so that we may share with the world. | Owner - Clayton P. Cobb (@warrtalon) | https://t.co/2qN11O1Wvf

Oct 3, 2020, 5 tweets

US Update: 10/3/20

Graph 1: Daily Deaths + Current Hospitalizations

- Hospitalizations bottomed out and turned up a little
- Increase by 928 Week-over-Week (WoW)
- Reported Deaths down 9 WoW.

*Still a LOT of legacy death laundering (very old deaths counted as new)

/1

Graph 2: COVID ICU Census vs. Deaths (7DayAvg) vs. Daily Detected Cases

***Case hunting still in hyperdrive

- 7-Day-Avg Reported Deaths down 31 WoW
- ICUs flattened but not increasing
- Date of Death curve is below the early July low point and receding

/2

Graph 3: Daily Tests + Detected Cases + Case Positivity

***Why are so many being tested daily, and who are they? CLI is at a national record low

- Test Positivity down 0.3 WoW
- 4.4% Positivity yesterday; 7DA nearing low point
- Tests up 107k WoW
- Detected Cases DOWN 6k WoW
/3

Graph 4: Coronavirus - Census for Hospitalizations vs. ICUs vs. Ventilators

***All metrics bottomed out - stopped declining

- Hosps up 973 WoW
- ICUs down 27 WoW
- Vents up 27 WoW

*Vents 450 lower than the July low point

/4

Graphs 5: Daily Estimated Cases vs. Deaths

Heavy testing is working hard to keep Detected Cases up, but low Positivity is fighting back.

Tests hit the highest number ever, but estimated cases still close to June low point.

Hosps and CLI do not match Case Detection.

/END

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