Dr Duncan Robertson Profile picture
Policy & Strategy Analytics academic at Loughborough University; Fellow, St Catherine's College, Oxford. Member, @IndependentSage.

Jan 7, 2021, 8 tweets

Here are the heatmaps for Covid detected cases, positivity, hospitalizations, and ICU admissions. This is for the week to 3 January 2021.

I have marked a line on 21 September, when SAGE recommended a circuit breaker, so you can see how the situation has deteriorated since then.

Detected cases increasing significantly in all age groups (colour and monochrome version).

(The vertical line is 21 September when SAGE recommended a circuit breaker.)

Positivity for males. Increasing in each age group.

(The vertical line is 21 September when SAGE recommended a circuit breaker.)

Positivity for females. Increasing in each age group.

(The vertical line is 21 September when SAGE recommended a circuit breaker.)

Hospitalizations increasing significantly for 45+ age groups

(The vertical line is 21 September when SAGE recommended a circuit breaker.)

ICU admissions increasing in 45-64, 65-74, and 75-84 age groups.

ICU admissions declining in over-85s.

(The vertical line is 21 September when SAGE recommended a circuit breaker.)

This is an absolutely dire situation.

Comparing the data on 21 September when SAGE recommended a circuit breaker (which was rejected by the Government) and the situation now is stark.

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