Trevor Tombe Profile picture
Professor @EconCalgary | Fiscal/Econ Policy Director @policy_school | Alum @econuoft @SFUBeedie | Contributor @TheHubCanada | 💻 📊 📝 🍻

Apr 10, 2021, 9 tweets

Today's COVID vaccination update*:

- Total shots given: 7,814,748
- Shots per 100 people: 20.6
- Shots reported today: 245,427
- Inventory: 12.6 days (at avg pace)

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

* Saturday/Sunday updates may be incomplete

Canada is now up to 7.8 million shots given -- which is 73.6% of the total 10.6M doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,152,170 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 794k are fully vaccinated with two shots.

Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 245,427 shots given compares to an average of 222,392/day over the past week and 184,358/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 284,377
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Nov 2021

But based on just the share of people with 1 or more doses (a weaker threshold), at Canada's current pace we reach 25% by April, 50% by June, and 75% by July 2021.

For context, at Canada's current pace of vaccination the share of people with 1 or more doses increases by 0.55% per day. The U.S. increases this share by 0.54% per day. For Canada to reach the current U.S. share would take 29 days.

Turning to individual provinces, here's doses administered over time and the latest share of deliveries used. SK leading with 81.0% of delivered doses administered while NS has administered 52.2%.

To visualize the pace of vaccination across provs, here's time to reach 75% of adults w/ 1+ doses based on the latest 7-day average daily pace.

- NL fastest at 45 days.
- NS slowest at 137 days.

How does Canada compare to others? Currently, Canada ranks 7th out of 37 OECD countries in terms of the share of the population that is at least partially vaccinated. In terms of total doses per 100, Canada is 16th.

Source: ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinat…

Canada/US comparison:

- Highest Prov: QC, 21.3% of pop w/ at least one dose
- Lowest Prov: NS, 11.0
- Highest State: NH, 43.2
- Lowest State: AL, 25.1

- Top CDN Terr: YT, 57.9
- Top US Terr: PW, 45.4

Sources: covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… and covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

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