Dr Duncan Robertson Profile picture
Policy & Strategy Analytics academic at Loughborough University; Fellow, St Catherine's College, Oxford. Member, @IndependentSage.

Apr 14, 2021, 8 tweets

The @ONS Infection Survey for antibody and vaccination data has been published here ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…

A thread.

"In England, ... 54.9% of the population (95% credible interval: 49.5% to 60.0%) would have tested positive for antibodies against the coronavirus (COVID-19)... on a blood test in the week ending 28 March 2021, suggesting they had the infection in the past or have been vaccinated

Imporant caveat:
"Across all four countries of the UK, there is a clear pattern between vaccination and testing positive for COVID-19 antibodies **but the detection of antibodies alone is not a precise measure of the immunity protection given by vaccination**.

Levelling off in antibody detection for England

Green line: % vaccinated
Blue line: % population with antibodies detected

Decline in antibodies detected in older age groups

Note the fall in over-70s.

These should be getting their second doses, so hopefully this will increase.

Note *there is not 100% antibodies detected even if you're vaccinated (but these vaccines are effective - not 100% effective)

So:
- levelling off in detected antibodies
- particularly for the over-70s
- vaccines give benefits not just through antibodies
- vaccines are effective, but not 100% effective

And
- get vaccinated
- get your second dose when called
- 'cry freedom' isn't a great idea right now.

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