Trevor Tombe Profile picture
Professor @EconCalgary | Fiscal/Econ Policy Director @policy_school | Alum @econuoft @SFUBeedie | Contributor @TheHubCanada | 💻 📊 📝 🍻

Apr 15, 2021, 11 tweets

Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 9,205,307
- Shots per 100 people: 24.2
- Shots reported today: 306,442
- Inventory: 12.3 days (at avg pace)

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

Canada is now up to 9.2 million shots given -- which is 72.8% of the total 12.6M doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,094,742 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 855k are fully vaccinated with two shots.

Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 306,442 shots given compares to an average of 278,964/day over the past week and 193,674/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 284,564
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Oct 2021

But based on just the share of people with 1 or more doses (a weaker threshold), at Canada's current pace we reach 50% by May, and 75% by June 2021!

For context, at Canada's latest 7-day avg daily pace, the share of people w/ 1 or more doses rises by 0.70% per day. The US rises by 0.59% per day.

-For Canada to reach the current US share would take 23 days.
-Projected out, we reach 75% roughly 2 weeks after the US.

Turning to individual provinces, here's doses administered over time and the latest share of deliveries used. YT leading with 80.0% of delivered doses administered while NU has administered 57.6%.

Note: Shares >100% are due to squeezing 'extra' doses from vaccine vials.

Vaccination pace varies widely. Here's time to reach 75% of adults w/ 1+ doses based on the latest 7-day average daily pace.

- SK fastest at 42 days.
- NB slowest at 64 days.

Every province is on pace for the June goal!

And here's where things stand today:

- Highest overall: YT at 59% receiving at least one shot
- Most 1st doses only: QC at 25% receiving that shot
- Most Fully Vaccinated: YT at 44%
- Fewest Vaccinated: NS at 15%

How does Canada compare to others? Currently, Canada ranks 6th out of 37 OECD countries in terms of the share of the population that is at least partially vaccinated. In terms of total doses per 100, Canada is 12th.

Source: ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinat…

Canada/US comparison:

- Highest Prov: QC, 25.0% of pop w/ at least one dose
- Lowest Prov: NS, 15.4
- Highest State: NH, 50.5
- Lowest State: AL, 26.8

- Top CDN Terr: YT, 59.1
- Top US Terr: PW, 47.9

Sources: covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… and covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

Finally, here's a selection across several metrics/groups of how Canada ranks globally. Quite well overall!

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