Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
Retired lawyer. Cooking & good food, books, conversation, dancing, music. Forever European 🇬🇧 🇮🇪 Also on 🦋 Same @handle as here!

Apr 20, 2021, 7 tweets

India’s covid surge is bringing its healthcare system to the brink - Washington Post

Cases rising so fast it is not so much a wave as a wall. washingtonpost.com/world/interact…

The spike is so steep that the increase looks almost vertical — infecting entire families and overwhelming hospitals.

Whilst Delhi is locking down, but just for six days, in other parts of the country religious gatherings and election rallies are carrying on. And the day the lockdown was announced huge scenes of people fleeing Delhi to return to home towns will have carried the virus out.

And Modi has rejected a national lockdown.

In Delhi they had shrunk their Covid wards believing the worst was past.

April 9. 8.5k cases

April 13. 13.5k cases

April 17. 24K cases

That’s nearly tripling in 8 days.

What’s the RR?

At this rate (testing capacity permitting which is a big IF) there could be 500k cases in a day within a month.

6 states plus Delhi account for two thirds of the country’s daily cases

No beds. People dying at home, untreated.

Oxygen being hauled in from other states and in short supply

In this crematorium two steel pipes in the facilities 6 chimneys melted from constant use.

Usually the receive 20 bodies a day. Now it is a 100.

Not that you would think it from official figures that grossly undercount the dead.

Always remember that this is a very young country. 65% under 35 years old. But the wards are full of the young. ICUs with many (most) patients under 45 years old.

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