Highlights from DIA chief Berrier's worldwide threats testimony to Senate Armed Services Committee on Afghanistan: armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/… 1/n
Events in late 2020 diminished the likelihood that Afghan peace negotiations will result in any extended ceasefire or reduction in violence in 2021.
Taliban applied military pressure against gov't and coalition, conducted assassinations, attacks, and offensives.
ANDSF faces systematic logistical problems and corruption which place limits on effectiveness; likely to continue to degrade in 2021.
China and Russia motivated to block the spillover of instability; China engages both the Afghan gov't and the Taliban.
Pakistan continues to provide material support and safe haven to the Taliban and also supports the peace efforts by encouraging the Taliban to engage in dialogue with the Afghan gov't.
IS-KP, al-Qaeda, and AQIS are present in Afghanistan but have suffered setbacks; IS-KP has 500 members in its "guerilla network" who target among others religious minority sects; AQIS has fewer than 200 members. n/n
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