John Roberts Profile picture
Actuary for far too many years. Welsh, but now live in the spiritual home of the Wurzels out west. Don’t think I’ve got the accent yet. Like zider though...

Apr 30, 2021, 6 tweets

The latest ONS infection survey shows dramatic falls across the UK, with England falling by over 40% and Wales by 50% in just one week. (Data is to 24th April.)

E falls from 0.17% to 0.10% or 1 in 1,010.
W falls from 0.12% to 0.06% or 1 in 1,570

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There are slightly less dramatic falls in Scotland and Northern Ireland, though still very encouraging.

NI falls from 0.15% to 0.11% or 1 in 940
S falls from 0.18% to 0.16% or 1 in 640.

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Regionally, only Yorkshire and Humber now rounds to 0.2% (actually 0.19%).

In the opposite corner the SW is now shown as 0.0%, though is actually 0.03% or 1 in 2,980.

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It's a similar picture by age, with the over 70s now recording 0.04% or 1 in 2,830. However, we can still see meaningful levels of prevalence in the school years, although these are falling too.

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New infections are also falling in England to a low of 3,600 per day, around half the 7,100 reported last week and down from 15,000 just 3 weeks ago. (There's less certainty about the trends in the other countries because numbers are much lower.)
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In England there were just 151 positive tests out of 136,078 tests over the most recent two week period.

Overall these are an exceptionally encouraging set of numbers as the gradual easing of restrictions continues. Good news!

ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…

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