Prof. Christina Pagel - @chrischirp.bsky.social Profile picture
Prof Operational Research @UCL_CORU, health care, women in STEM. Member of @independentsage. chrischirp at bluesky. https://t.co/nNW5zMeVmA

May 19, 2021, 7 tweets

SHORT THREAD: Discussed the spread of B.1.617.2 (the variant first sequenced in India) on @BBCRadio4

First off, the data just don't support vaccine hesitancy as reason for spread 1/5

Data on vaccine uptake by age group in Bolton and Blackburn (via @doctor_oxford from NHS England data) 2/5

Data on younger age groups being infected from @jburnmurdoch this time for Bolton and Bedford 3/5

Secondly, the data do support greater transmissibility of the new variant B.1.617.2 over the current dominant strain in the UK (B.1.1.7 ("Kent")).

But we don't quite know yet how much more transmissible and it really matters. 4/5

Thread on increased transmissibility from @TWenseleers

SAGE minutes on it here:
gov.uk/government/pub… 5/5

oops - here is the Bolton vaccine uptake by age
(again from @doctor_oxford )

Ack - the vaccine data comes from @rachaelfrclarke and not @doctor_oxford - too many Rach(a)el Clarkes!

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