@chrischirp's Threads
Parliament is about to be prorogued & PM is threatening to double down against parliament to
ensure UK exit on 31st Oct – so why not read this thread on 3000 voter survey @ChristabelCoops & I did about PM vs Parliament? (Just published by @IanDunt politics.co.uk/comment-analys… ) 1/8
ensure UK exit on 31st Oct – so why not read this thread on 3000 voter survey @ChristabelCoops & I did about PM vs Parliament? (Just published by @IanDunt politics.co.uk/comment-analys… ) 1/8
We asked whether it was OK for PM to suspend parliament or take other measures to ensure a No Deal EU exit against parliament’s wishes – country evenly split, but basically remain / leave driven BUT 2/8 
Is it only about what outcome you want? We also asked people about the opposite scenario: a Remain PM ignoring parliament to secure revoke against parliament’s wishes… this time, *both* Remainers and Leavers were against, SO 3/8
THREAD: New survey results out today in @NewStatesman from me & @christabelcoops (bit.ly/2QT6Oj7)
Take aways:
Leavers do NOT want to leave with any Brexit more than Remainers want to Remain & a quarter of Leavers rank Remain above at least one Brexit option 1/5
Take aways:
Leavers do NOT want to leave with any Brexit more than Remainers want to Remain & a quarter of Leavers rank Remain above at least one Brexit option 1/5
The shifts away from Labour and the Tories in the EU elections are going to a problem in a new GE – confirming other recent polls. 88% of people who voted in EU elections say Brexit will be important in their GE vote & 66% of those who didn’t vote say that too. 2/5
The Tories in their leadership election are already moving towards trying to grab back their Brexit Party defectors. Will Labour move? After #PeterboroughByElection , less likely… a dangerous lesson to learn in my opinion 3/5
Thread: We've done a UCL-YouGov, 5000+ UK voters – asked people to rank outcomes for Brexit. @HuffPostUK article here bit.ly/2UGHgtK
Main pts: OVERALL, No Deal is LEAST preferred outcome (despite what ERG say), but it is the MOST preferred outcome for LEAVE voters. 1/6
Main pts: OVERALL, No Deal is LEAST preferred outcome (despite what ERG say), but it is the MOST preferred outcome for LEAVE voters. 1/6
People who didn’t vote leave are REALLY WORRIED about the impact of No Deal on the economy. But Leave voters are not only not that worried about No Deal – they are MORE worried about leaving with the Withdrawal Agreement. 2/6
But, among Leave Voters, support for No Deal is driven by those most likely to weather any economic downturn. Financially struggling Leave voters are MUCH MORE worried… it's not the "left behind" who really want No Deal... 3/6
Thread: A year ago my survey of state legislator ultimate goals for health policy highlighted some big differences between Republicans and Democrats and raised various questions... 1/9 ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/10.2105/AJ…
Were differences in the role of government really that big? Both parties said reducing costs was really important - but exactly what costs? and for whom? Did everyone mean the same thing when they said access was important? 2/9
In a textbook example of how qualitative & quantitative research can inform and enhance each other, the brilliant @dklinejones interviewed state legislators in Kansas and Colorado (2 of the highest responding states to the survey) to dig into these questions... 3/9
