Kevin Wilson Profile picture
Epidemiologist. Spare-time interest in scientometrics. Tweeting as a private science nerd.

May 28, 2021, 12 tweets

NS reported 40 new cases today:

2 in the Western zone

4 in the Northern zone

5 in the Eastern zone

29 in the Halifax area (Central zone)

1 new death was reported in the Halifax area, bringing the provincial total to 80.

There are now 585 known, active cases in NS.

NS Outbreak Detailed:

Restrictions/case levels map

Case origins timeline

Cases per capita timeline with Halifax emphasized

Comparison of Halifax outbreak wind-down to the worst outbreak in each health region in the country (scaled peak-to-peak)

Halifax ticked down another level on the map.

NS released summer re-opening plan today: novascotia.ca/coronavirus/do…

It looks a lot like the NB and PEI plans from yesterday, save with the extra steps of exiting restrictions from the current outbreak.

Probably the biggest surprise was re-opening schools outside of the current outbreak zones in Halifax and Sydney.

Hopefully the outbreaks in those areas can wind down and they can join the rest of the province.

Restrictions in NS are scheduled to start lifting next Wednesday, with more outdoor options becoming available for most businesses.

You can see the entire pandemic timeline for the Atlantic region and surrounding area in the animation.

Each tick is a week since the start of the pandemic in March of last year.

Vaccine Roll-Out Metrics

1st graph shows how many days since each province had enough doses to cover their current usage.

2nd graph shows percent of eligible population that is newly vaccinated each day

3rd graph shows days ahead/behind versus national average

This animation shows each province's vaccination pace as a percent of the pace they need to each 80% first dose coverage by the end of June (based on how many they have already vaccinated and how much time is left).

Older data becomes less visible over time.

Here is the current percent of the eligible population of each province covered by at least one vaccine dose (Territories shown in the 2nd graph).

Graph shows actual first dose coverage (blue) compared to a charitable maximum (green) that accounts for previously given 2nd doses and gives a 5-day grace period on deliveries.

Provinces are sorted from smallest (good) to largest (bad) gap between actual/potential coverage.

Nightly quick look at how the rest of the country is doing.

Manitoba may have finally joined the cool kids club and hit it's peak cases.

NS continues to chase Quebec down to the bottom of the chart.

That's it for tonight's update.

(yes, I fell asleep part way though)

Take care of one another an have a great rest of the night.

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