🦠 7742 new cases (36%⬆️ on same day last week, 45.5% on rolling 7 day average)
Worth noting that Monday - Friday of last week every day was over 7k cases by specimen date. Wednesday a few cases off 8k.
It isn’t more testing.
ENGLAND positivity it up again. 2.2%.
🏥 data is very laggy with last complete day on admissions being Tuesday 8th June.
But IN hospital data for England indicates a steady climb from 860 a week ago to 993 today. ⬆️. A 15.6% increase
ICU 🛌 133 to 170 in the same period. ⬆️ A 27.8% increase.
💉 277k doses of vaccinations given in total.
A a bit Meh given the place we are in - but clinics have been working long and busy hours.
H/T @Dr_D_Robertson fir the summary
- case growth rate 49% per week
- hospitalizations growth rate 47% per week
- patients in ICU/HDU beds increasing
- cases and hospitalizations *not* decoupled
The problem is we already have a massive backlog of non Covid work to catch up on and every bed occupied by an urgent Covid patient is a bed that cannot be occupied by a patients needing elective surgery.
Something we need to avoid quite urgently.
CHELTENHAM!
‼️ 198 cases (by swab date) in the week up to 13-6-21.
In the week to 20-5-21 we had just 3 cases
In fact we had just 8 in the week to 29 May. Barely 2 weeks ago! Positivity then was 0.1%
Now it is c 1.8%
An 18 fold increase.
It is beginning to show in hospital patients. Still low compared to many but three times the number we had before measures were relaxed on 17-5-21 and we know how quickly that can change.
Hospitals lag cases. Deaths lag hospital cases
I am hearing a lot of sirens today.
7 day Rolling average by specimen date (left)
Percentage change (right) remembering that the most recent couple of days are likely to be incomplete as tests are processed
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