Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Climate, Conflict, Politics, Africa. Editor https://t.co/b6HbxvmnsV (NZ) Reporting from France. https://t.co/LNVK0y9IS7 #nzpol #DesertRain

Jul 15, 2021, 8 tweets

Ongoing coverage of Invest 98w, currently south east of the Phillipines and forecast by the GFS to make landfall in China, after formation and swift strengthening over the next few days. Here is a picture as the Sun came up over the west Pacific ocean.

Yesterday's thread linked above.

This cyclone candidate is interesting for two reasons: 1. intrinsically as a potentially dangerous storm and 2. because of the wider set up around it which is detailed in yesterday's thread.

This animation is from this afternoon.

Meanwhile we have a new cyclone candidate in the Atlantic also, #Invest99L which is also stationary and presents visually in a similar manner to #Invest98w. It is developing in a similar spot to the first Tropical Storm of the 2021 Hurricane Season, Ana.

#Invest99L has a similar presentation to #Invest98w, but will not threaten the U.S. Seaboard. It could however impact weather in Europe, albeit not as a tropical storm.

The latest GFS model run now has two Typhoons in it (the second is not yet designated. The first makes landfall in China 21st July and the second in Japan on July 25th.

The previous GFS model run 15:00 is almost identical, albeit with a signifcantly closer Japanese Landfall to Tokyo.

As for the comparatively completely harmless #Invest99L at this stage neither @ECMWF nor @NOAA GFS are expecting any development.

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