I was wondering if this might happen. With all the moisture streaming along the North African coast and north east from central Africa. Also some forecasts had this indicated as a possibility.
Admittedly the rain is very light. But it is June and close to Solstice, the hottest month in this part of the world. Here we see the broader picture. The #EuropeBigWet is continuing in a fairly stable pattern for another 48 hours still.
Here's a close up of the North Western quadrant with some big storms bursting to life near the Morocco/Algeria border.
This map shows military actions identified and documented by the team. @GeographyUGent has been studying the Tigray region for 60 years and has a deep network of contacts in the region from which they are gathering information.
12 "Conflict incidents" are included for May 2021.
@GeographyUGent 17 "Conflict Incidents" are reported from the month of April. And as of April 23rd this is their map of territorial control. At that time the TDF (Tigray Defence Force) was still in control of significant areas across the region.
@IlhanMN@Ilhan doing her job and politely asking legitimate questions - ones which are being asked by many people all around the world - about the jurisdiction off the nascent International Criminal Court.
Super efficient delivery at Dinan vaccination center. Tiny needle. Painless. No sign of 5G connection yet :)
Super thankful. To scientists who created this miracle of science, & all the people involved in the delivery.
2nd appointment in July.
Vive La France!
‘Tis an exceedingly beautiful place to get vaccinated Dinan. Afterwards I visited the church here which is nearly 1000 years old. Dating back to the crusades and before William of Normandie conquered Britain.
More #ArabianStorms and #Abbay convection. The Atlantic continues to be active now looks set to deliver a surprise summer storm early next week. [See #EuropeBigWet for that coverage.]
This close up shows more Atlantic moisture pouring into North Africa over Morroco and Western Sahara. You can also see a substantial dust cloud is now forming which will be helping to suppress Atlantic cyclones.
In the EU-US round-table [webcast.ec.europa.eu/us-aid << Live Now ] @NRC_Egeland from the Norwegian Refugee Council has now twice said that the humanitarian aid effort in Tigray needs assistance from the Ethiopian Govt. to be effective.
A column from Jan Egeland, Secretary General of the Norwegian Refugee Council, and Jean-Michel Grand, Executive Director of Action Against Hunger UK on the Tigray Crisis news.trust.org/item/202105040…
Aid delivery requires cooperation with, not alienation of the Ethiopian Govt. Today's roundtable was effective in raising the profile of the conflict, and unfolding humanitarian disaster underway in Tigray. But absent an Ethiopian speaker was not good for encouraging cooperation.
10 day rainfall forecasts from the CMC, KMA, GFS and ECMWF models for June 9th through 19th.
A few animations. This one is connected to the separate tweet threads about #EuropeBigWet, which appear to be being driven by Jets of wet air coming off the Atlantic and crossing the Sahara into Europe.
This animation shows a jet crossing Libya and pumping water into Georgia.
Image 1. A live rainfall map as of now from @Meteoblue
Image 2. A high res satellite image as of this morning @NASA Modis.
This first animation is from this morning and shows the clouds moving in over the UK and Ireland. Not too much rain expected there though. Mainly in Scotland.
The rest of Europe has settled down over night bit it is still very wet.
Here we see the storm over Russia and former Soviet states. It has lost some of its organisation over night but is still a circulation of thunderstorms. At the bottom right a new injection of storms is coming up the right flank through Turkey.
The strength of the West African Monsoon continues to grow as you can see in the animation above. During the current active period (See also #EuropeBigWet) the Sahara is forecast to reach a point where there is water over most of the great desert. Here are 10d rainfall forecasts.
This recording stands out because:
a) its explosive nature and
b) because of its wide dissemination and the implications that come from it in relation to the fairness of the election.
c) because it was explicitly denied by the Prime Minister.
The also addresses two wider issues, the first of which relates to elections everywhere, and the second which relates to the specific conditions of this election.
The @guardian has now published a ill-considered incendiary op-ed by @KjetilTronvoll containing his reckons on a subject he doesn't appear to be treating with care. He seeks resignations over a complex war the details of which remain far from clear. theguardian.com/global-develop…
Let me get this straight professor. You now acknowledge inadvertently spreading misinformation/disinformation in the lead up to this election, you continue to accuse the #Ethiopian Govt. of engaging in it.
As a professor of peace/conflict studies you would be aware that this is Ethiopia’s first shot at a real free and fair democratic election, and you would be aware of the already heightened domestic very lethal tensions, and not just in Tigray. And yet you continue to stoke these.
The Ethiopian Govt is clear they have asked Eritrean troops to leave but they have not yet left, even though undertakings to do so were provided to the U.S.
It is also clear that Tigrayan forces initiated this war and continue - with assistance unknown - to pursue it.
It is now two weeks till the first open democratic #Ethiopian election.
To open here's a high resolution satellite image of the Nile Basin from Cairo to Lake Victoria including Eastern Ethiopia where the #GERD dam is located, and where the Blue Nile - source of much of the Nile's flow - originates in Lake Tana (the heart shaped lake).
We will zoom in on the #HornOfAfrica starting with the wider picture. On the left side of this image you can see a #WesternSahara water transport event which is significantly impacting weather conditions in Europe. (See more in the attached thread
The main source of water into the European zone remains a flow of water across the Sahara north, now on a broad front bringing rain along a 1700km wide front from France to the Aegean.
Notably the unusual circulation of thunderstorms north of the Black Sea has grown to 2000kms wide and now extends all the way to the Baltic. This system appeared with the #WesternSaharaPlume and appears to be fed by it.
This animation from @Meteoblue shows an apparently connected outflow heading East across northern Russia.
Netanyahu is now playing a Trumpian game of questioning the legitimacy of the election that he lost. This lacks credibility given that he has lost multiple times. As PM elect Naftali Bennet says, Bibi is now using incitement, and not for the first time. google.fr/amp/s/www.alja…