Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Private sector economic advisor. Author of the newly released book “Cleared for the Option: A Year Learning to Fly”. https://t.co/vhcQrJq9n3. #avgeek

Jul 15, 2021, 26 tweets

The US reported +374 new coronavirus deaths yesterday, bringing the total to 623,838. The 7-day moving average - important given the irregular daily reporting from some states - rose back to 259 deaths per day.

The US reported +35,447 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 yesterday, bringing the total to over 34.8 million. The 7-day moving average rose to 26,704 new cases per day, its highest since May 22.

The long US decline in new COVID cases and deaths appears to be over, and are now beginning to rebound - mostly among the unvaccinated.

Eight US states had over 1,000 new cases yesterday. Florida led the pack with over 6,000, though this likely included unreported cases from earlier in the week. California had over 3,000, and Texas and Missouri both had over 2,000.

New cases in Florida are clearly spiking upwards, to over 5,000 per day, their highest since late April.

New cases in Missouri - mostly driven by the Delta variant - are back to their highest levels since January.

New cases in Louisiana hit their highest yesterday since February.

New cases in Arkansas have also hit their highest level since February.

New cases in Georgia are starting to inch upwards.

New hospital admissions in the US due to COVID-19 are up +31.2% from a week ago.

New hospital admissions in the southeastern US states, where vaccination rates are lowest, are up +47.9% from a week ago.

New hospitalization admissions in the south-central US, including Louisiana, Arkansas, and Texas, are up +44.0% from a week ago.

New hospital admissions in Missouri due to COVID-19 are up +32.1% from a week ago.

New hospital admissions in Arkansas due to COVID-19 are up +64.6% from a week ago, back to their levels in February.

New hospital admissions in Florida due to COVID-19 are up +49.6% from a week ago.

New hospital admissions in Louisiana due to COVID-19 are up +49.3% from a week ago.

This latest map from nytimes.com shows the areas of the US that are seeing a renewed rise in COVID-19 infections, over the past week. nytimes.com/interactive/20…

Hospitalizations from COVID are trending younger in the US, according to the latest CDC data.

As of the latest data (early July), the Delta strain (originating in India) has become dominant in the US, accounting for over half of all new infections.

The main focus of the Delta variant remains the Ozark hotspot. But Nevada is also an emerging hotspot.

New hospitalizations in Nevada due to COVID-19 are up +25.9% from a week ago, though they were already rising noticeably then.

The US only administered 546,000 new vaccine shots yesterday, bringing the total to 335 million, or 101.1 doses per 100 people. The 7-day moving average rose slightly to 548,000 shots per day.

The number of Americans receiving their first vaccine shot has slowed to a crawl.

65.1% of qualified Americans (age 12 and over) have received at least one vaccine shot; 56.1% are now fully vaccinated.

Over 83 million American adults and nearly 16 million qualified children remain completely unvaccinated.

I'd be interesting in an interpretation of this chart. Who are the "multiple/other" and why are their vaccination rates so high compared to everyone else? usafacts.org/visualizations…

Vaccination rates vary predictably by age. Together with the fact that nearly all hospitalizations are now unvaccinated patients, this almost certainly explains why hospitalizations are trending younger.

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