Very angry today.
🦠🦠🦠 51,870 cases. If we stick around 2% being hospitalised that is OVER 1k people a day hospitalised and we are already at c750 in a day.
⚰️ 60 day deaths (57) 28 day deaths (49)
⬆️ 57.4% on a rolling 7 day average & c.69% on the same day last week.
Those will be deaths from infections swabbed mostly 16-20 days ago so let’s just have a look
Cases by swab date 20-27 June? Range c10k to c18.3k.
Average 16,361 cases a day.
Now, 7-14th July 27.8k - ⬆️45k & they are still adding cases to 12th July so the numbers will ⬆️⬆️
That is an average of 36,690 cases per day 7-14 July and because these are cases by swab date and their are processing delays several thousand likely to be added to these numbers
More then double 2-3 weeks ago
Deaths will follow.
And Wembley ⚽️ finals will only just be landing
Now Silverstone starts with 350k people over 3 days.
🏥 admissions already going up reflecting symptomatic Covid 9 days ago. Before Wembley finals and probably semi finals too.
About 750 by now. If cases double we can expect these to double.
UNIMAGINABLE that we are being so stupid to allow this to happen again.
How many cancelled operations will that be?
🏥 🛌 OVER 4K now. That will double too. How stupid are we?
VENTILATOR 🛌 c 570. Yep. Them too.
To understand how many cancer, heart and other operations that have to be cancelled for every Covid patient admitted to ICU (let alone non ICU wards) really really get to grips with this thread based on the ICNARC audits every week.
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