Latest @MRCza and @UCT_news report out on excess deaths, covering the period to 24 July 2021. 10 500 excess deaths in the week to 24 July 2021, bringing the total excess natural deaths since 3 May 2020 to 214 000. 130 000 of those in 2021. Report here: samrc.ac.za/reports/report…
20 000 natural deaths this week, still below the peak of 24 000 at the top of wave 2. Complex pattern may emerge in the next few weeks as Gauteng and its metros decrease, while other provinces (and metros) increase.
Nationally, natural deaths this week 119% of expected. Gauteng 181% (down from 210% last week). P-scores in other provinces increasing: NW (165%); LP (157%); MP (138%). Big increase in KZN to 100% (2x expected deaths), up from 51% last week.
Unnatural deaths fell again this week, following the violence in the previous week which had resulted in a marked spike in unnatural deaths.
On the testing side, some good news at last: Gauteng, NW, MP and LP all decreasing. Others increased, but seemingly at a slower rate. PTP in WC in the week to 24 July was 32%; EC and KZN both 21%. Nationally, 29%.
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