Prof. Christina Pagel Profile picture
Prof Operational Research @UCL_CORU, health care, women in STEM. Member of @independentsage. chrischirp at bluesky. https://t.co/nNW5zMenx2

Jul 30, 2021, 5 tweets

QUICK THREAD on Vaccines:

Vaccinations have slowed down, esp 1st doses. About 6 million adults left without a first dose & 9 million on just one dose.

Will take about 6-8 weeks to give those 9m a second dose. And we need to work on making it easy for 6m to get their 1st.

Overall we still have 30% ish of population unprotected by vaccination. Note that about 20% of pop are children not eligible for vaccines (yet!).

Wales furthest ahead with its vax programme, followed by Scotland.

67% of 18-24 yr olds in England have had their first dose which is promising.

But more worryingly quite a lot of 40-49 yr olds still need their 2nd jab.

In younger adults, women more likely to take up vax than men.

Differential uptake by ethnicity is still stark.

SAGE have recognised this is an issue as well - it really makes a difference if we can get from 85% to 90% coverage. And even more from 70% to 90% in younger groups!

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…

Another SAGE doc considers risks from waning and new variants.

Risks are substantial but likely not just yet - vaccines are fantastic, but we might need regular boosters and we need to try to keep cases down ... /END
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…

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