MONDAY #COVID19Colorado update
Headline: If you're a glass half-full kind of person, it's not all bad news. Sure, patient count is up... again... but cases, while going up, still aren't spiking
HOSPITALIZATIONS
covid+ ONLY
Today: 353 (up 26)
Last week: 291
#9News
CASES
Consistent increase over last 2 weeks.
BUT
Better than an arrow straight up
POSITIVITY
Actually nudged down... VERY SMALL amount tho
(but better than steep increase)
Want to walk you through how I tend to look at these with a "non-epi expert" eye...
(I'm sure there's a scientific term for this)
Look at the rate of increase over previous spikes (I've labeled a, b and c)
Look how rate of increase falls with each wave. This is a good sign
Now look at, for example, Louisiana
The rate of increase is VERY VERTICAL
(this is not great news)
What about our hospitalizations?
Again, in Colorado, each passing wave is getting less intense. That's good
Not so in Louisiana
BIG and SHARP vertical rise in hospitalizations too
(thanks @nytimes)
Basically, with every passing wave, Colorado is getting better at this
But that's not always the case in the US
Basically, I'd rather be Colo. right now
What's it all mean?
Watch the rate of increase too... Particularly with hospitalizations.
Slower rate of increase and lower peaks are good news.
I'll leave it up to the experts as to why this is happening.
As always
take care of yourselves.
and have a good rest of your week!
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