David H. Montgomery Profile picture
"A French history podcaster and enormous goshdang nerd after our own hearts" — @andrewvandam. Host of @thesiecle; senior data journalist with @YouGovAmerica.

Sep 2, 2021, 7 tweets

Isn’t this a tantalizing development in Minnesota’s positivity rate? That little turn downward after a period of flatness...

We’ll see whether it’s just a blip or the start of something significant in future days.

Cases, hospitalizations and positivity growth all continue to slow steadily…

One thing worth noting: more than 20 new #COVID19 deaths reported today. This isn’t a backlog — they basically all took place since Aug. 24. Not sure what’s up with this, but again: never overreact to one day of data.

Also worth noting that Thursdays have tended to include large numbers of reported deaths in recent weeks.

Vaccination rates continue to slow. Currently about 62% of Minnesotans have at least one dose (75% of adults 18+)

The earliest we’d see any possible case bump from the State Fair in the data would be next week.

The earliest we’d see any bump from post-Labor Day school openings would be two weeks.

South Dakota is up to as many new cases per capita as Missouri was seeing at the peak of its summer wave.

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