Thread by @DoomsdayDebunks

So far Delta is winning against all the other variants.

Even Alpha, Beta and Gamma - and the other "variants of interest" up to Mu and new ones like C.1.2 that they are keeping an eye on.

Seems Delta is pretty hard to beat.

Many people don't realize - unlike antibiotics - it is very unusual for a virus to evade vaccines at all. Only flu does it every year.

In these videos I'm commenting on my previous tweet thread here:

Interesting situation, Novavax is first vaccine sent to WHO for approval first - stronger economies saturated in vaccines, so, much less interest in developing new vaccines.

Novavax also very good at transfer of technology and first deliver of 100 million doses is to COVAX.

Example, Hexapro tweak, in clinical trials by weaker economies, licensed by Texas University, likely better than the 2P tweak used by Pfizer / Moderna.

Expect more vaccines like this in 2022, better vaccines, easier to grow, and more effective, may go to weaker economies first.

Weak economies can vaccinate very fast - US, UK, EU etc were very slow because we are not used to vaccinating large numbers of adults + supply issues.

Bhutan vaccinated the same % as Israel in only 11 days and Brazil in 1990 vaccinated every child against polio in a single day.

Yes we will have enough vaccines to vaccinate the world in 2022. If it is needed we could have 10 billion+ doses every 3 months in 2022 (later in the year)

So we will have the capacity.

We don't have to "live with COVID" with thousands of people dying a year.
Flu is ONLY remaining hyperendemic disease
- polio, and smallpox were hyperendemic in the past and are all gone or almost gone.
WHO say we can keep COVID very low like measles
- false anlaogy with flu.

Why we need to keep transmission low to stop variants.

Every time you block a chain of transmission by being careful you are doing your part to stop new variants - you never know - the chain of transmission you blocked could have evolved to the next variant of concern!

How to protect yourself. In many places e.g. in Scotland your risk is the highest it has been for the entire pandemic - no matter what other people tell you - especially if unvaccinated.

So - be aware of your local situation and take care.

To summarize, things look very positive for this time next year - by this time next year may already be starting to move into the history books. Meanwhile take great care!

Previous tweet thread ends here:

For more background and links see my:
debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/Easy-to-tweak-…

There are many things you can do to help block transmission.

Each chain of transmission you break may save lives, hospitalization, long COVID, even a new variant that could have evolved from it - you will never know what you stopped :).

See details here:debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/How-to-protect…