Interesting situation, Novavax is first vaccine sent to WHO for approval first - stronger economies saturated in vaccines, so, much less interest in developing new vaccines.
Novavax also very good at transfer of technology and first deliver of 100 million doses is to COVAX.
Example, Hexapro tweak, in clinical trials by weaker economies, licensed by Texas University, likely better than the 2P tweak used by Pfizer / Moderna.
Expect more vaccines like this in 2022, better vaccines, easier to grow, and more effective, may go to weaker economies first.
Weak economies can vaccinate very fast - US, UK, EU etc were very slow because we are not used to vaccinating large numbers of adults + supply issues.
Bhutan vaccinated the same % as Israel in only 11 days and Brazil in 1990 vaccinated every child against polio in a single day.
Yes we will have enough vaccines to vaccinate the world in 2022. If it is needed we could have 10 billion+ doses every 3 months in 2022 (later in the year)
So we will have the capacity.
We don't have to "live with COVID" with thousands of people dying a year.
Flu is ONLY remaining hyperendemic disease
- polio, and smallpox were hyperendemic in the past and are all gone or almost gone.
WHO say we can keep COVID very low like measles
- false anlaogy with flu.
Why we need to keep transmission low to stop variants.
Every time you block a chain of transmission by being careful you are doing your part to stop new variants - you never know - the chain of transmission you blocked could have evolved to the next variant of concern!
How to protect yourself. In many places e.g. in Scotland your risk is the highest it has been for the entire pandemic - no matter what other people tell you - especially if unvaccinated.
So - be aware of your local situation and take care.
To summarize, things look very positive for this time next year - by this time next year may already be starting to move into the history books. Meanwhile take great care!
There are many things you can do to help block transmission.
Each chain of transmission you break may save lives, hospitalization, long COVID, even a new variant that could have evolved from it - you will never know what you stopped :).
BLOG: Far right Republican Project 2025 is mostly an illegal fantasy - most of it can’t be done at all - “Schedule F” would face legal challenges and likely be struck down
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2/ This is impossible. I 'll do a new post when I get time. Most things require new laws and they can't get a far right majority in either house. Schedule F is the main executive decision option. If he tries again it is likely shot down as illegal. Meanwhile short thread.
3/ for LGBT things remember that the vast majority in both houses supported the respect for marriage act. So it is not possible for Congress to pass laws that remove the right for marriage for gay people never mind harsher restrictions.
1/n Yes we ARE headed for 1.7°C if countries keep to announced pledges
- most make realistic pledges and achieve or overachieve
- 77% of IPCC authors CAN be wrong if it is the remaining 23% who study how countries translate pledges into action
2/ About why climate scientists often are so pessimistic about action on climate change.
- hardly any study the economic models
- IPCC / AR6 had a cut off date just before the COP26 net zero pledges
- so couldn't evaluate the feasibility of India / China's net zero plans.
3/ The big IPBES report in 2019 was the only recent major study with a large element of social scientists and it was the most optimistic, saying we can achieve this transformative change, not just scientifically - that it is economically and socially feasible.
@GerogeBush6@mikestabile 1/ This is an inaccurate summary. It is about exceptions to the law not overturning it. There are many exceptions already itif.org/publications/2…
This case is specifically about how YouTube recommends videos to users (continues)
@GerogeBush6@mikestabile 2/n The case is about whether Google is liable if its algorithm recommends illegal content to users. It is NOT liable for hosting user generated illegal content - that's established. Video summary. c-span.org/video/?c503199…
1/4 Many people are misreading what Putin said in his annexation speech. He did NOT say Hiroshima and Nagasaki create a precedent for the world to use nukes today
- that would be a very radical
- that would reverse all Russian nuclear policy for decades.
2/4 It is very clear in context that Putin said
- the Allied carpet bombing in WW2 in Dresden, Hamburg and Cologne
- set a precedent for the use of the nuclear bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
They clip the video just before the second paragraph which makes that clear.
3/4 I go into it in my blog post using the official English translation of Putins' speech as published by the Kremlin.
I look at two other ways to intepret those two sentences, neither makes sense in the context of the paragraph that follows.
Putin speech misleadingly clipped
- said nukes against civilians are BAD
- did NOT say bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki are a precedent for Russia to follow
- said US / UK used carpet bombing in Germany as a precedent
- for nuclear bombs in Japan debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/Putin-speech-m…
I don't speak Russian. But this is based on the official Kremlin translation into English. That section of the speech is always clipped just before the next bit which makes it clear he is talking about USA using carpet bombing in Germany as a precedent for nuclear bombs in Japan.
There is one other reading, I've now set them out with headings as the natural reading and two alternative forced and unnatural readings in the context of the rest of the speech.
See my debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/Putin-speech-m…
For Putin to try to use a nuke to stop Ukraine from doing its counteroffensive is like trying to use a cannon ball to stop midges that are already biting you. debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/Russia-can-t-w…
Russia's tactical nukes likely can be dialed down very small like the US ones. If a 1 kiloton tactical nuke was detonated at one end of an airport runway you'd not even get sick at the other end if the small radioactive cloud blew another way or you got inside within 15 minutes