David H. Montgomery Profile picture
"A French history podcaster and enormous goshdang nerd after our own hearts" — @andrewvandam. Host of @thesiecle; senior data journalist with @YouGovAmerica.

Oct 4, 2021, 8 tweets

Today’s #COVID19 data — really the tail end of last week, due to MDH’s reporting delays — is unsettling. Our positivity rate ticked up to 6.4%, the highest this wave to date (and in fact higher than we ever reached this spring, either). This measure had been flat until recently.

Testing volume is still going up — it’s just that the last few days of data have seen cases grow even more quickly.

Cases continue to be pretty flat in the Twin Cities metro; MN’s overall case growth is concentrated in central and western Minnesota.

Here’s something striking. Northwestern Minnesota over the past week has averaged 98 new cases per day per 100,000 people.

That’s as high as Hennepin and Ramsey counties got LAST FALL in the brutal second wave.

Cases are rising in every age group, but the highest rates continue to be in people aged 10-19.

Since the pandemic began, Minnesota has basically never had its reported cases so weighted to Greater Minnesota. (There was one comparable blip last April; our current drop is deeper and more sustained.)

The Twin Cities metro has the state’s highest vaccination rate, and its lowest case rate by now.

NE and SE Minnesota have the next-highest vax rates, and the next-highest case rates.

Central and western MN has the lowest vax rates and highest case rates.

Vaccinations continue to trickle in extremely slowly, just a few thousand per day.

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