This has not been shared widely in the media so let’s fix that. COVID-19 is now in retreat in the United States, the United Kingdom, AND Worldwide. Worldwide, cases have fallen MORE THAN 30% since late August and weekly deaths have fallen MORE THAN 15%. It gets better. Read on.🧵
•U.S. cases and hospitalizations have fallen 35% and 25% respectively since September 1st.
•Daily deaths in the U.S. have fallen 10% since September 20th. It is the FIRST sustained decline in deaths since the early summer.
•Deaths in the U.K. have fallen 21% since their-
September peak.
•Hospitalizations in the U.K. are down 28% since their September peak.
•The pattern has also been evident within countries, including India, Indonesia, Thailand, Britain, France, and Spain. In each of them, the Delta variant led to a surge in cases lasting-
somewhere from one and a half to two and a half months.
•In the U.S., the Delta surge started in several Southern states in June and began receding in those states in August. In much of the rest of the U.S., it began in July, and cases have begun falling the past few weeks.
•Even pediatric cases are falling, despite the lack of vaccine authorization for children under 12.
•The share of those in the U.S. 12 and over who have received at least one vaccine shot has reached 76%.
•MORE THAN 6 BILLION vaccine doses have been administered worldwide.
•Lastly, around 1/2 of those in the U.S. have probably had COVID already, giving them some natural immunity. This matters and counts.
“Eventually, immunity will become widespread enough that another wave as large and damaging as the Delta wave will not be possible.
“Barring something unexpected,” Dr. Scott Gottlieb, has stated: “I’m of the opinion that this is the LAST major wave of infection.”
“COVID isn’t going to disappear anytime soon. It will continue to circulate for years, many scientists believe. BUT the vaccines can transform
COVID into a MANAGEABLE disease, not so different from a flu or common cold. In the past few weeks, the country appears to have moved closer to that less grim future. Whatever this autumn brings, the worst of the pandemic is almost certainly behind us.”
Let’s keep going. Our focus should now be on countries that need vaccines the most to stop COVID in its tracks. You can read all of this and more here: nytimes.com/2021/10/04/bri… and firstpost.com/world/covid-19…
One thing I want to add onto this thread that is circulating in the media. This particular study out of The Lancet. PLEASE NOTE: Vaccine effectiveness in preventing hospitalization and death remained high at 90% for AT LEAST (NOT ONLY) SIX MONTHS, even against the highly
contagious Delta variant. That’s from the actual study itself. Felt the need to put that out there since most headlines today have been extremely misleading. You can find that study here: thelancet.com/journals/lance….
And if you should need it to compare this time last year to now. ourworldindata.org/grapher/curren…
Adding onto this today, out of the United Nations. COVID-19 cases and deaths continue to decline: news.un.org/en/story/2021/…
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