10/13 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:
THREAD:
* Continued declines
* Combined Pos% below 8% as of 10/3
* Cases 7DMA below 4900
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 9.53%, census below 6100, down 56% from 8/25
* Fatalities analysis between the 3 Covid waves
1/n
.
10/13 Indicators
* Total positivity rate as of 10/3 at 7.92%
* Testing peak 9/13 @ 1.12 million tests a week. Testing as of 10/3 is @ 757K per week
* Positive Tests descending through 7DMA of 8.6K per day
* Covidestim Rt at 0.57. New low
2/n
.
10/13 Cases
* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/13 7DMA is 4,887, down 68% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 23% Week over week
3/n
.
10/13 Hospitalizations
* Single Day Peak was 8/25- 13932
* Current census is 6084, lowest since 7/29
* 7DMA declining at a rate of 19.6% week over week
* % of beds tagged as Covid 9.53%. Peak was 21.88% on 8/30
* ICU beds in use lowest since 8/2
4/n
.
10/13 - Hosp Covid Admits
* Statewide Admits down 63% from their peak on 8/23
* Statewide Admits 7DMA Rate of Decline of 18.5% Week over Week
* Hospitalizations will continue to decline but possibly more slowly in coming days? Will watch
5/n
.
10/13 Fatalities
* I've been maintaining that this wave is not as lethal as the previous two based on the comparison between fatalities and hospitalizations.
* Evidence of this in 17% lower fatalities per hospitalization that previous waves.
6/n
.
10/13 Conclusion
* Wave goodbye to this wave, hopefully its the last large one we see.
7/end
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