What is going on in Europe? Covid mortality during weeks 1-40 has more than doubled compared to last year, while excess mortality is actually lower this year.
Moreover, reported covid deaths are 2X higher than excess deaths:
One answer is that there have actually been FEWER deaths than expected in those 85+ this year, even though this age group accounts for over 1/4 of all covid deaths.
This is a perfect display of the "dry tinder" effect:
Conversely, though there are few covid deaths in this age bracket, excess mortality for those aged 15-44 has nearly tripled this year compared to last year.
Excess mortality for this group is not correlated with covid waves; it is a slow, steady drip of despair.
Throughout the region covered by euromomo, excess deaths are accelerating in 2021 vs. 2020 - except for those most impact by covid (the elderly).
European excess deaths in 2021 are the price of panic, not the toll of covid.
What happens if you don't panic, despite multiple waves of covid killing thousands of elderly citizens?
You can ZERO cumulative excess mortality from 2019-2021.
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