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Cardiff fan with a soft spot for Man United | #FPL Thread Writer | Best OR: #FPL 5k (20/21) | Also playing #SkyFF & #GAFFR | Viva Gareth Bale! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Oct 21, 2021, 24 tweets

📝 GW9 THREAD

🔎 GW8
📸 Snapshot
🍕 Takeaway
👁️ Eye Catchers

🔎 GW9
🎯 Fixtures to Target
©️ Captaincy
🔮 Predictions
📉 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🗑️ Top Binned
🚌 Bus Team

Later than usual from a sunny Tenerife! 🍻☀️

#FPL #FPLCommunity #GW9

📸 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS
➡️ DEFENCE

Games: 10
Clean Sheets: 7

Shots Conceded
🔺Most: MUN(22),LEE/WAT(19)
🔻Least: SOU(3),BRE(5),LIV(6)

Big Chances Conceded
🔺Most: WAT(5),AVL(4)
🔻Least: LIV,ARS,BRE(0)

xGC
🔺WAT(3.01),MUN(2.93)
🔻BRE(0.26),SOU(0.37)

📸 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS
➡️ ATTACK

Games: 10
Goals: 30

Shots
🔺Most: LEI(22),LIV/SOU(19)
🔻Least: LEE(3),CHE(5),WAT(6)

Big Chances
🔺Most: LIV(5),WOL(4),LEI(3)
🔻Least: CRY,WAT,CHE(0)

xG
🔺Most: LIV(3.01),LEI(2.93)
🔻Least: CHE(0.26),LEE(0.37)

📸SNAPSHOT - PLAYERS

Most Points
1️⃣ Firmino(20)
2️⃣ Chilwell/Ogbonna(15)
3️⃣ McGinn(13)

Most Shots
1️⃣ Norgaard(6)
2️⃣ 5 players(5)

xG
1️⃣ Firmino(1.46)
2️⃣ Ings(0.90)

xA
1️⃣ Firmino(0.72)
2️⃣ Redmond/Salah(0.64)

🍕 TAKEAWAYS

🌭 LIV emphatic once more. Salah rewarding owners whilst Firmino potentially comes on to our radar?

🍔 Disappointing display from Lukaku. Injury in CL gives owners green light to bin

🍟 Back to back league goals from KDB

🥪 Another woeful outing from MUN vs LEI

👁️ LOW OWNED EYE CATCHERS

1️⃣ Tielmans: 5.2% owned, beautiful goal. Comfortably LEI highest scoring midfielder

2️⃣ Broja: 0.8% owned, in for Armstrong with a well taken goal. Just £5.0m too

3️⃣ Kane: 5.2% owned. Goal and assist..more like the Kane we know!

🏟️ WELCOME TO GW9

⏰ DEADLINE
6.30pm, Friday 22nd Oct (UK)

🗓️ FIXTURES
🔸ARS vs AVL
🔹CHE vs NOR
🔹CRY vs NEW
🔹EVE vs WAT
🔹LEE vs WOL
🔹SOU vs BUR
🔹BHA vs MCI
▫️BRE vs LEI
▫️WHU vs TOT
▫️MUN vs LIV

⬇️ LEAGUE TABLE

🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ CHE vs NOR

Can't help but see a comfortable win for Chelsea in this one, especially given their home advantage. Whilst many hopes will be pinned on Havertz/Mount, picking the right defensive asset could pay dividends. Clean sheet looks a certainty

🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ BHA vs MCI

City have found their feet and with players like Foden, KDB and Gundogan returning to fitness they'll only get stronger. Whilst BHA have been impressive I think MCI are in cruise control at the minute and like CHE I'm backing a MCI clean sheet.

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Vardy

Joint highest scorer with 7 league goals but only now Vardy is really coming on to people's radar; he'll be a popular replacement for Lukaku this week. Whilst BRE have been impressive in defence I fancy Vardy to grab another goal this weekend.

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Salah

Mo is your form pick, in previous threads I've suggested he's the best in the PL but right now there's not many in the world performing at his level so consistently. 12 returns to his name vs a leaky MUN defence, he has to be considered for the armband!

🔮 PREDICTIONS
➡️ Highest Points

1️⃣ Kane - 5.83
2️⃣ Mount - 5.75
3️⃣ Rudiger - 5.62
4️⃣ Havertz - 5.58
5️⃣ Son - 5.53
6️⃣ James - 5.51
7️⃣ KDB - 5.46
8️⃣ Edouard - 5.38
9️⃣ Vardy - 5.33
🔟 Azpilicueta - 5.28

* Taken from @FFH_HQ

🔮PREDICTIONS
➡️ Clean Sheets

1️⃣ CHE - 64%
2️⃣ MCI - 52%
3️⃣ EVE - 45%
4️⃣ ARS - 38%
5️⃣ CRY - 38%

➡️ Over 2.5 Goals

1️⃣ CHE - 53%
2️⃣ MCI - 43%
3️⃣ EVE - 31%
4️⃣ ARS/LEI/LEE - 22%

* Taken from @drafthound

📉 DIFFERENTIAL CENTRAL

🥇 WILSON
🗓️ Fixture: CRY (A)
📉 TSB: 1.1%
💸 Price: £7.3m

🥈 HAVERTZ
🗓️ Fixture: NOR (H)
📉 TSB: 4.1%
💸 Price: £8.1m

🥉 KANE
🗓️ Fixture: WHU (A)
📉 TSB: 5.2%
💸 Price: £12.1m

🔥 HOT PROPERTY

Players most bought IN ahead of GW9 so far:

1️⃣ Vardy - 444k
2️⃣ Chilwell - 202k
3️⃣ Townsend - 191k
4️⃣ Salah - 163k
5️⃣ Azpilicueta - 149k
6️⃣ Cancelo - 146k

* As of Thursday morning @ 10am

🗑️ TOP BINNED

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW9 so far:

1️⃣ Ronaldo - 461k
2️⃣ Lukaku - 304k
3️⃣ Chilwell - 236k
4️⃣ Rudiger - 161k
5️⃣ Jota - 154k
6️⃣ Pogba - 153k

* As of Thursday morning @ 10am

🚑 LUKAKU REPLACEMENTS

Vardy (£10.6m) is the form pick with a decent run of fixtures to GW16. If you'd like to go something different then Iheanacho (£7.0m) could be worth consideration.

Toney (£6.4m) as mentioned below will be a popular pick with BUR, NOR, NEW on the horizon.

🚑 LUKAKU REPLACEMENTS

Kane (£12.1m) has a lovely fixture run coming up, arguably up until GW26. But obviously TOT aren't the most reliable.

Edouard (£6.5m) 3 goals in 267mins with NEW, MCI, WOL, BUR ahead.

If Wilson (£7.3m) stays fit he will always be worth consideration.

🔴 MBUEMO & TONEY

BRE have a lovely little run of games from GW10 and Mbuemo & Toney look the players to be considering; though it could even be argued that LEI present an opportunity to jump in on them this GW given how the foxes have conceded 132 shots (19th), 14 goals (16th)

🔴 MBUEMO vs TONEY

At £5.5m, Mbeumo is the cheaper asset compared with Toney who's currently £6.4m.

Toney is on pens, has the most FPL points (33/29) and comfortably the more popular asset with 15.8% ownership compared to Mbeumo's 3.3% but the double up is worth consideration

🔵 CHILWELL

Since his return to the CHE lineup in GW7 Chilwell has 2x goals and 23 FPL points, only bettered by Salah. CHE fixtures are absolutely glorious from a defensive aspect over the next 3 GWs but the rotation risk with Alonso gives us a real headache! James however..

💡 GW9 TIPS

🔹With a couple of fires to put out in Lukaku and Co I think managers could get away with a hit this week provided it sets you up longer term.

🔹Lukaku's injury also paves way cash in. Bringing a cheaper replacement in might help get to the likes of Son/Mane

🚌 GW9 BUS TEAM
⚖️ BALANCE TOOL

🟥 Lukaku, Mahrez

🟧 Armstrong

🟨 Raphinha, Antonio, Cancelo, Dias, ESR, Christensen

🟩 Salah, TAA, Sanchez, Foster, Liveramento, Brownhill

💭 TRANSFER THOUGHTS
🗑️ Lukaku, Mahrez OUT
✅ Vardy, Havertz IN (-4)

©️Captain: Salah

🏖️ Apologies for the lateness posting and the lack of content included in comparison to usual GW threads. Currently on holiday with my 2 year old so it's been almost impossible to catch the time needed to put this thread together.

Good Luck to you all in GW9! 🍻

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