David H. Montgomery Profile picture
"A French history podcaster and enormous goshdang nerd after our own hearts" — @andrewvandam. Host of @thesiecle; senior data journalist with @YouGovAmerica.

Oct 27, 2021, 6 tweets

Today’s data showed the 7-day averages for cases and positivity rate ticking up.

I’m here to tell you: don’t panic!

These increases are not so much because of today’s data as because LAST Wednesday was abnormally low. The long-term trends are still hopeful.

Hospitalizations are both trending downward:

Basically: all the signs still point to continued decline in MN’s outbreak.

The big unanswered question: how brisk will the decline be? The past few days have been much slower than last week was.

We are seeing a noticeable (but still small) increase in booster shots in recent days.

With kids 5-11 about to be approved for the #COVID19 vaccine, here’s where Minnesota’s vaccination rates stand by age:

Just a few days left in October, and it seems clear this is going to be the slowest month for new first-dose vaccinations to date — even as a share of the slowly dwindling unvaccinated population.

(November will almost certainly beat October with a pending eligibility expansion)

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