The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission passed its final maps last night, unanimously. Given that prior cycles had unfortunately ended in partisan accusations, a unanimous vote is a huge success! And, our grades suggest they are good maps too!
First up, AZ's Congressional Map. It gets an A overall and in Partisan Fairness, and Cs in Competitiveness and Geography.
We'd expect it to elect a 5D-4R delegation, though AZ-1, 6 and 8 are all competitive, with AZ-2 and 4 nearly competitive.
gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-…
It has two Hispanic majority districts (AZ-3 (Southwest Phoenix) and 7 (South Tucson and the southwestern part of the state)). AZ-2 is home to most of the tribal population in the state.
The State Legislative map gets the same grades: A overall and in Partisan Fairness, Cs in Competitiveness and Geography.
It will likely elect a 16R-14D Senate, with five of the seats competitive.
gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-…
It has seven districts with an HVAP over 48%, and one (District 6) with an NVAP over 50%.
We do flag that there is potential backsliding in Hispanic representation - we'd encourage folks who know the population and voting patterns in Arizona to look at this closely!
Again, this is a really tremendous job by the AZIRC. They should be proud of the transparency in their process, the compromises they reached, and the fair and relatively competitive maps they drew.
#PGP_AZ #AZPol #Redistricting #FairMaps
@ArizonaIRC @lwvaz
These maps are now up for public comment, and then the AZ IRC will make final tweaks, but these maps are likely pretty close to the final versions.
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