David H. Montgomery Profile picture
"A French history podcaster and enormous goshdang nerd after our own hearts" — @andrewvandam. Host of @thesiecle; senior data journalist with @YouGovAmerica.

Nov 10, 2021, 7 tweets

Today’s #COVID19 data is gonna be extra bad, but remember that a big chunk of that was that @mnhealth didn’t get all the weekend cases processed by yesterday.

That said, this is just a one-day backlog. These cases are all happening now, whether we assign them to Tuesday or Wednesday doesn’t make much difference. Cases are still spiking drastically. So is positivity rate.

#COVID19 hospitalizations are shooting upward. They’re rising everywhere, but especially in the metro-area hospitals.

This surge is not limited to one particular region of the state or one age group — cases are rising across the board. (Ignore the bump and fall in the past two weeks, that’s partially artificial due to a backlog; focus on the last few days.)

Here is relationship in Minnesota between vaccination rate and current cae rates, by region. (The same trend shows up at the individual county level, but is MUCH messier.)

We continue to see new vaccinations show up among kids 5-11. We’re still in the very early days of this, though, considering reporting delays.

For everyone asking, @mnhealth does present some data on cases by vaccination status, but it’s essentially *useless* for analyzing trends in real time. The most recent data here is from Oct. 3. health.state.mn.us/diseases/coron…

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