Heavy Moat Investments Profile picture
Young self-taught investor and Software dev | Quality Value Investing | Writer at Substack | Entertainment only, no financial advice

Nov 10, 2021, 10 tweets

Quick thoughts on $TCEHY, my second largest stock holding behind $TDOC

Revenue growth is slowing a bit, 13,5% YoY.

Something slightly worrying is Fintech growing to a bigger chunck of the business. Easy target for a crackdown and this one could really hurt

Tencent still in the leading position in a lot of sectors in china and worldwide. This won't change in the foreseeable future imo.

Internation VAS growth outpacing chinese growth by a lot

$TCEHY expects a slowdown in Advertising growth for a few quarters. Crackdowns are forcing companies to tune down marketing

Fintech and Business services are doing well, I'd really love them to disclose Fintech and Business services individually. I wanna know how much B services are growing in particular.

Margins are pretty stable. Not much felt from the crackdowns (yet? )

Costs are rising faster than revenue, which isn't great to see. It's fine for R&D though.

The fair value of $TCEHY equity investments is $185 billion or 31% of Tencents marketcap.

Also a small buyback, not really worth mentioning. I would expect them to spend more with this price. They have ~$40 billion in cash right now.

Summary: I'm not loving what I'm seeing, somethings like advertising slowdown are not great to see, since its a high margin business. Overall they will be fine. Let's see how the regulations will work out going forward.

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