Thread by @CORF_FPL

🏟️ GW12 THREAD (1/2)

🔎 GW11
📸 Snapshot
🍕 Takeaway

🔎 GW12
🎯 Fixtures to Target
©️ Captaincy
🔮 Predictions
📉 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🗑️ Top Binned
🚌 Bus Team

A look back at GW11 & early preview of GW12. The first of two threads over the IB! ✈️

#FPL #FPLCommunity

📸 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS
🛡️ DEFENCE

Games: 10
Clean Sheets: 6

🔎 CONCEDED

Shots
🔺Most: BUR(25),NOR(19),LEI(18)
🔻Least: CRY(4),MCI/CHE(5)

Big Chances
🔺Most: BUR(5), NOR/LEI/WOL(3)
🔻Least: CRY/SOU/BHA/TOT(0)

xGC
🔺Most: BUR(2.62), NOR(2.45)
🔻Least: BHA(0.27), CRY(0.37)

📸 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS
🗡️ ATTACK

Games: 10
Goals: 20

Shots
🔺Most: CHE(25),BRE(19),LEE(18)
🔻Least: WOL(4),MUN/BUR(5)

Big Chances
🔺Most: CHE(5),CRY/BRE(3)
🔻Least: EVE/AVL/WOL/NEW(0)

xG
🔺Most: CHE(2.62),BRE(2.45)
🔻Least: NEW(0.27),WOL(0.37)

📸 SNAPSHOT - PLAYERS

Most Points
1️⃣ Cancelo - 14
2️⃣ TAA/Fornals - 12
3️⃣ Foster/Gallagher - 11

Most Shots
1️⃣ James - 6
2️⃣ Rodrigo/Gray/Trossard/Canos - 5

xG
1️⃣ Trossard - 1.11
2️⃣ Norgaard - 0.95
3️⃣ Mane - 0.82

xA
1️⃣ Hudson-Odoi - 1.40
2️⃣ Bowen - 0.86
3️⃣ James - 0.64

🍕 GW11 TAKEAWAYS

🍔 MCI in cruise control vs MUN. Completely bossed it from start to finish

🍟 Raphinha with another goal and MOTM performance. He's carrying LEE at the moment

🌭 Both EVE/TOT set up 'not to lose'

🌮 CRY ticking all the boxes once again

📋 WELCOME TO GW12

⏰ DEADLINE:
11.00am Saturday 20th Nov (UK)

🗓️ FIXTURES:
🔹LEI vs CHE
🔹AVL vs BHA
🔹BUR vs CRY
🔹NEW vs BRE
🔹NOR vs SOU
🔹WAT vs MUN
🔹WOL vs WHU
🔹LIV vs ARS
🔸MCI vs EVE
🔸TOT vs LEE

⬇️ LEAGUE TABLE

🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ MCI vs EVE

Following a disappointing defeat in GW10 vs CRY, MCI cruised to 3 points in the Manc derby never really leaving first gear. EVE are without a win since GW6 and I really don't see them getting anything here.

MCI 3-0 EVE

🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ BUR vs CRY

The Eagles are now unbeaten in 6 games & lost only 2 games this season. They go up against a BUR team that's conceded 180 Shots (20th), 125 of which have been inside the box (20th). This could be a good week to hop on Gallagher, Zaha and Co.

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Salah

No goals in the last 3 games (all comps) but he'll remain the safest option to pop the armband on again GW12. Be warned, Salah goes up against a much improved ARS defence coming off the back of 2 clean sheets. But that won't be enough to put me off him!

CAPTAINCY
➡️ Cancelo

He plays in an extremely attacking role in this MCI squad and probably more of a threat than most of City's midfield options. I anticipate a CS for City in GW12 which means even without an attacking return & BPS Cancelo should be a 12 point captain.

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Ronaldo

Despite United's poor form of late Ronaldo continues to be a threat. You'd think he's likely to get plenty of chances against WAT in GW12, if you still have him in your squads I think he's absolutely worth considering for your armband.

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Kane/Son

Can Conte find the key to release Kane & Son from their shackles? Captaining either is a risk given their recent form but it feels inevitable the pair will get plenty of chances at least..

@FFH_HQ predict the pair to get the most points in GW12!

🔮 PREDICTIONS
➡️ Highest Scorers

1️⃣ Kane - 7.20
2️⃣ Son - 6.92
3️⃣ Ronaldo - 6.68
4️⃣ Bruno - 6.41
5️⃣ Salah - 6.36
6️⃣ KDB - 6.31
7️⃣ Greenwood - 5.77
8️⃣ TAA - 5.55
9️⃣ Toney - 5.55
🔟 Mane - 5.55

* Taken from @FFH_HQ

🔮 PREDICTIONS
➡️ Clean Sheets %

1️⃣ MCI - 62%
2️⃣ MUN - 44%
3️⃣ CHE - 42%
4️⃣ LIV - 40%
5️⃣ TOT - 38%
6️⃣ SOU - 36%

➡️ Over 2.5 Goals

1️⃣ MCI - 49%
2️⃣ MUN - 43%
3️⃣ LIV - 35%
4️⃣ TOT - 23%
5️⃣ CHE - 22%
6️⃣ SOU - 20%

* Taken from @drafthound

📉 DIFFERENTIAL CENTRAL

➡️ GW12 PUNT
🔴 DE BRUYNE
💰 £11.9m
📉 3.1%
🗓️ EVE (H)

➡️ LONGER TERM
⚫ C. WILSON
💰 £7.3m
📉 2.2%
🗓️ BRE, ARS, NOR, BUR

➡️ DIFFERENTIAL WATCHLIST
▫️Rashford (0.8%)
▫️Lamptey (0.7%)
▫️Willock (0.6%)
▫️Moura (0.8%)
▫️Trossard (2.4%)

🔥 HOT PROPERTY

Players most bought IN ahead of GW12 so far:

1️⃣ Gallagher- 307k
2️⃣ James- 235k
3️⃣ Cancelo- 206k
4️⃣ Smith-Rowe- 167k
5️⃣ Liveramento- 107k
6️⃣ Antonio- 105k

Interesting to see how many in the #FPLCommunity are bringing Son in for GW12, yet he's not on the list!

🗑️ TOP BINNED

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW12 so far:

1️⃣ Sanchez - 154k
2️⃣ Alonso - 123k
3️⃣ Ings - 116k
4️⃣ Gray - 93k
5️⃣ Vardy - 87k
6️⃣ Townsend - 77k

Remember, Sanchez will only be suspended for one GW. If you have Foster, play him. I don't feel the need to use a FT.

🔎 BIG AT THE BACK

The BATB strategy is very much in people's thinking right now with several outstanding options available. But which def's are expected to get most points next 5 GWs?

1️⃣TAA 27.74
2️⃣Cancelo 26.18
3️⃣Chilwell 25.88
4️⃣Robertson 24.49
5️⃣Dias 23.75
6️⃣Walker 23.18

🟣 AVL DEFENCE

The key challenge in front of Gerrard will be in building back what was a reliable defensive unit last season.

🔎 SINCE GW6 (Conceded)

Goals: 13 (20th)
Shots: 106 (20th)
SiB: 64 (19th)
Big Chances: 17 (20th)
xCS: 0.77 (20th)
xGC: 12.81 (20th)

Trossard GW12? 👀

💡EARLY GW12 TIPS

▫️Be mindful of the IB when making early moves. Injuries, Covid & rotation to be expected

▫️There's some big fixture swings over the next couple of GW's. Try to plan ahead, having a rough idea how to get to Ronaldo and Co might prevent any need to take hits

🚌 GW12 BUS TEAM

✏️ Building a plan..

🔄 GW12
Havertz, Vardy OUT
Kane, Gallagher IN (-4)

🔄 GW13
Roll/Cover injuries (£1.1m ITB)

🔄 GW14
Toney OUT
Wilson IN

🔄 GW15
Kane OUT
Ronaldo IN

I'm sure a lot will change, but this feels like a decent plan to move forward with! 😬

And finally..something for everyone in the #FPLCommunity to get involved in.

🏟️ GW39 Charity Match
➡️ @Benny_Blanco40
➡️ @FPLHints

Check out the details ⬇️