David H. Montgomery Profile picture
"A French history podcaster and enormous goshdang nerd after our own hearts" — @andrewvandam. Host of @thesiecle; senior data journalist with @YouGovAmerica.

Nov 15, 2021, 7 tweets

#COVID19 metrics are all going up in MN. How much is a little harder to say. Our relative increases in today’s were less drastic than we reported last Monday. If that’s actually signs of a slowdown, that’s good. But the Veterans Day holiday could be skewing things. Wait & see.

Tests conducted last Monday in Minnesota (and thus not skewed by reporting issues) reported nearly 6,000 #COVID19 cases. That’s the most from any one day of testing here since Dec. 1, 2020. (Note this sample-date data has a one-week lag time to stabilize.)

#COVID19 death data is useless today in MN because of Veterans Day. The health department reports 0 new deaths, but that’s just because no deaths were processed on Veterans Day (and today’s report is as of 4 a.m. on Friday). Tomorrow will see a big spike, then hopefully stability

Hospitalization rates are rising briskly, though a week or two behind last November’s pace.

Cases are rising most quickly in northern central Minnesota, followed by southern Minnesota and the metro suburbs, and most slowly in Hennepin/Ramsey.

An extra week of data on breakthroughs today takes our lag to Oct. 10. (Don’t complain to me about the lag…) No changes to the relative prevalence of #COVID19 in the unvaccinated.

The next few days of data might change this, but about this time after 12-15-year-olds became eligible, their vax rate had taken off. So far we’re not seeing that explosive growth in 5-11-year-olds. Just a steady rise.

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