David H. Montgomery Profile picture
"A French history podcaster and enormous goshdang nerd after our own hearts" — @andrewvandam. Host of @thesiecle; senior data journalist with @YouGovAmerica.

Nov 16, 2021, 8 tweets

Today’s #COVID19 report in Minnesota was always going to be bad — last Tuesday was artificially mild due to data delays; yesterday’s deaths were all reported today.

But still, this is rough. Minnesota’s average positivity rate has crossed back over 10%.

Today’s report is actually the single worst #COVID19 report we’ve ever had, with more than 10,000 new cases. BUT this report includes 3 days of data; the 9,000-case days last November were single days.

Still, our average is up sharply, and relatively closely tracking last fall.

#COVID19 hospitalizations are also rising quickly.

A huge spike of 51 newly reported deaths intoday’s data, but that’s artificial — yesterday had 0 deaths due to holiday staffing issues at the health department. So this is 51 cases over 2 days — you can see the trendline here dip and recover.

#COVID19 cases are up all across Minnesota, but the hardest hit area is east-central Minnesota — which is also the area with the state’s lowest vaccination rate.

Adults 30-49 are the age group with the most new cases right now.

We did see an uptick in vaccination rates among 5- to 11-year-olds in today’s report; this measure had been lagging the pace of 12- to 15-year-olds after they first became eligible.

Anyway, always remember: never overreact to one day of data.

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