1. I'm highly skeptical of the assertion that a SCOTUS ruling against Roe would result in political blowback favoring Democrats.
There are a number of reasons, which I will list.
But to sum, the "pro-choice" designation is no longer dominant, and it no longer means what it did.
2. In "SELECT A COLUMN DEMOGRAPHIC VARIABLE", choose "ABORTION DESIGNATION", and load the table.
Aside from the nation being split on the designation, a significant number of those who refer to themselves as "pro-choice" do not oppose such restrictions.
application.marketsight.com/app/ItemView.a…
3. Forget 15 weeks. More than 1/5 "pro-choice" voters do support the heartbeat bill; more than a third (33.4) support banning abortion after the "Pain" threshold is reached; and 54.6% support bans on late-term abortion in the final 3 months. application.marketsight.com/app/ItemView.a…
4. Point being, even if the "pro-choice" designation was still dominant (it's not), the meaning has changed over the years.
It no longer means support for unrestricted abortions.
Ironically, science probably had a lot to do with that, and you can see it in generational changes.
5. Unfettered abortion, meaning with restrictions, is also NOT universally among Democratic voters—for those who think this is a Republican base-only position.
It is not.
Large percentages of Democrats do support several of these recent restrictions, even larger pcts of INDs.
Update: The claim that the “vast majority”—or, even “a” majority—in the US are pro-choice, is false.
That designation hasn’t been dominant since the 1990s.
@GallupNews has tracked for much longer than us, and their results very much mirror our own.
news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abor…
Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.
A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.