1/17
A thread on undeniable facts and reasons for upcoming US economic collapse and its affect on crypto market.
Overview of the thread:
1. Cycle completions.
2. Shemitah year.
3. Astrology: US Pluto return
4. Technical proofs.
5. Fundament proofs.
#BTC #SPX500
2/17
1. Cycle completions
15 yrs from 2007 High = 2022
20 yrs from 2002 Low = 2022
22 yrs from 2000 High = 2022
49 yrs from 1973 How = 2022
60 yrs from 1962 Low = 2022
80 yrs from 1942 Low = 2022
90 yrs from 1932 Low = 2022
3/17
100 yrs from the beginning of the very 1st multi year bull market 1922 (7years of bull market)=2022
145 yrs from SPX all time Low = 2022
77 years from world war 2 termination = 2022
All Cyclical Counts:
4/17
2. Shemitah Year:
Shemitah means “to release”. It is a cycle of 7 years. If we go 7 years back from now 2014-2015, Chinese stock market crashed -49%. 7 years back 2007-2008 housing crisis, SPX tanked 57%. 7 years back 2000-2001 was the dotcom bubble.
5/17
This shemitah years ending date is 25 September 2022, So we are more likely going to witness stock markets tank before Sept 25. There are some clues that indicate a crash starting in a specific month, Continue reading to find out more.
6/17
Astrological evidence:
Pluto is the planet of death and rebirth. US Pluto return is happening in the 2nd house of finances in the natal chart of USA on 20th Feb 2022. This makes it highly probable for a market crash starting from 20th Feb+-1 2022.
7/17
One of the major astrological reason for The “Great Depression 1929-1932” was the half Pluto return which collapsed SPX by 84% while Dow jones was down by 90%. Shockingly 1930-31 was also “shemitah” year.
8/17
SPX is approaching 93 year old trendline resistance confluenced with 3.786 fib from the Great depression high to low and 2.34 fib from 2000 dotcom top to housing bubble bottom. RSI in 12M chart is at 87. Consider following chart,
9/17
We might witness minimum 40-49% correction till the first trendline support. If SPX corrects till 2nd trendline then that will make upto 70% dip.
10/17
Affect on Crypto Market:
There have been no stocks bear market since 2010 when bitcoin 1st started trading. So it will be an experiment on how crypto market will be affected by the upcoming crash.
11/17
Both of the asset classes are considered risk on from the invertors point of view. So in my opinion, With a minimum of 50% correction in SPX, BTC will correct more than 50%. And ALTs might suffer upto 75-90%.
12/17
5. FA Proofs:
US profit Margins:
US profit margins are at an all time high. The chart below shows its deviation from linear line, Which is indicating that the US profit margins has reached 2007 and 2000 recessionary valuations.
13/17
Buffet Indicator:
Buffet indicator is at 2.3 standard deviation which suggest that market is extremely overvalued.
14/17
S&p500 Mean-Regression-Detrended:
The current S&P500 10-year P/E Ratio is 39.2. This is 96% above the modern-era market average of 19.6, putting the current P/E 2.4 standard deviations above the modern-era average. This suggests that the market is Strongly Overvalued.
15/17
The Yield Curve:
The US Treasury Yield Curve was recently inverted. This has historically been a very reliable indicator for calling out recessions. Since WW2 every yield curve inversion has been followed by a recession in the following 6-18 months.
16/17
US interest rates are currently near all-time lows. Rate hikes are in most cases bearish for stocks. FED announced for 3 rate hikes in 2022.
@us_market_value
17/17
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