Kelly Brown (fungus baron) Profile picture
Independent investor. Concentrated portfolio in high-quality companies with ethical, competent management. Accidental fungus baron.

Jan 7, 2022, 8 tweets

*New Data* from @CIHI_ICIS

Can you spot the pandemic?
We can now compare hospital/ICU data for the "pandemic" period to the 2019 "pre-pandemic" period.

1. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ICU Admissions by Diagnosis:

Pandemic admits below '19 pre-pandemic levels. "Major respiratory" a minimal contributor.

2. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Total Inpatient Hospital Admissions by Diagnosis:

Overall pandemic hospitalizations below pre-pandemic levels. Major respiratory diagnosis a minimal contributor to overall admissions.

Hospitals are in crisis?

3. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Total Ventilations by Diagnosis:

Overall pandemic ventilations below pre-pandemic levels. Major respiratory diagnosis more pronounced, but other diagnoses lower (may have been some attribution differences).

Again, where is the crisis?

Most shocking of all...

4. Ontario Hospital Census and ICU Census:

"Pandemic" and "pre-pandemic" periods are immaterially different.

Where is the crisis?

5. Ontario Surgical Volumes

Surgeries had major decline during 1st wave, but monthly averages have recovered to near pre-"pandemic" levels since 1st wave. Monthly average of Cancer/Cardiac surgeries now just 6% below pre-"pandemic" averages (incl. 2nd and 3rd waves!).

I hope the above data provides some much needed perspective, especially in light of our politicians and public health officials continuing with societal shutdowns and economic damage under the pretense of protecting the hospital system.

Datasets available to all from @CIHI_ICIS here: cihi.ca/en/covid-19-re…

Data caveats shows here:

@CIHI_ICIS One more caveat, most of the data for April - June 2021 are provisional and subject to change. All Canada-wide data referenced excludes Quebec.

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