1] As MDC-T splits..
Truth is, the ructions & consequent split of the judicial construct comes as no surprise.
From the get to, faulty lines where always there for all to see.
The MDC-T never had an ideology foundation nor identifiable political constituency to build on.
2] #ReasonsForSplit
MDC-T was reconstructed by the regime for the sole purpose of disrupting MDC-A political programs
ZanuPF attempted different ideas aimed at dismantling MDC-A & isolating NC.
Reconstructing MDC-T was part of those efforts to leave the MDC-A internally focused
3] On their part, those who jumped to the reconstructed MDC-T had two things in common.
Firstly, they had all lost different positions (save for Mupariwa), at the Gweru Congress.
Secondly, they all wanted the puppet party Presidency.
The 2nd issue especially, was a faulty line
4] In contrast, MDC-A party was founded on genuine reunification efforts by mainly MT (NC), Biti & Prof.
They equally have a clear ideology foundation & political program.
MDC-A is a genuine alternative in outlook & practice.
They've a clear political program & political base.
5] The issue of political constituency is key as it defines parties.
When MDC was formed in 1999, it was also an alliance of its constitutive organisations such as ZCTU, NCA, ZINASU, Women Groups, etc.
It equally had a clear political program.
For MDC-T, all these are illusive
6] #PoliticalImpact
So we now have two & a half MDC-Ts. Saw some suggesting somewhere that Dr Khupe should have simply "fired Mwonzora"
Truth is, she wants to pursue a political program & knows "firing Mwonzora" won't stop him from attempting to carry on with his cabal/faction
7] Have perhaps exhausted the point that MDC-T has no identifiable political base
Dr Khupe on the other hand, would feel as if Bulawayo is hers.
Consequently, the closest thing to a Southern Region political base the MDC-T would have banked on, is very much gone with Ma Khupe.
8] #ElectoralImpact
Did mention that we effectively have 2 & a half MDC-Ts
Whilst identifying as MDC-T President, DM 'registered' with ZEC under MDC-A party, Khupe just like in 2018, will stick to MDC-T
In all this madness, we have a forgetten MDC-T outfit 'led' by Nyikadzino.
9] The presser-cum-rally shows that MaKhupe still has her supporters down South, who constituted the majority of her 2018 45000 votes.
Many of her colleges already exposed DM by pulling out of his by-elections candidates list.
Consequently for both camps, polls will expose them
10] Whereas it remains to be seen whether or not MaKhupe will close rank with Nyikadzino or other players, the split is equally damaging for ZanuPF.
ZanuPF went out of its way to keep MDC-T intact, atleast until 2023, & time shall tell, as to whom they'll now rally behind.
11] #LegalImpact
Many things are being exposed, particularly hand of the State & courts in MDC fights
On her charge sheet, MaKhupe among other things, stands accused of sponsoring proxies in court cases against Mwonzora & MDC-T (something Mwonzora did against MT & NC after him)
12] During her presser, MaKhupe unwittingly exposed how "other parties & the courts" previously took sides, in MDC fights as she layed out intent to keep the name & PPFA money.
It's not too difficult to see she was exposing how the regime had sided with MDC-T against MDC-A.
13] Its always hilariously sad when beneficiaries of state capture begin mourning the same.
MaKhupe seems concerned by how the state (courts) might "unjustly" side with Mwonzora as they fight for the name & money, since she has accepted their split.
Enter Prof Madhuku....
get go*
14] #Conclusion
As puppets brace for a fight over the legendary "MDC" name, whilst fate awaits them at the polls, could this be the last indication for need to 'birth the new'?
Should the democratic alternative be entangled in this bloodbath, where ZanuPF plays jury?
enkosi!!
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