Yossi Gestetner Profile picture
Job: Data-Driven Strategist. Side Job: Commentator on US Politics/Economics. Gig: MC & Speeches. Created: #EconomicStressIndex.

Jan 28, 2022, 11 tweets

1/ Your vaccine fanatic friend is too stupid to understand this thread, and your authoritarian government official is too power hungry to want the masses to understand it, which is why they both yell “vaccine disinformation.” It’s easier than to debate on merit, but please focus.

2/ California posted a chart that in late Dec 2021 into Jan 2022, “unvaccinated people were 16.9 times more likely to die from COVID-19 than full vaccinated people.”

The math you can see in the bottom: 6.5 is 16 times more than 0.4.

Please take a moment to observe the chart.

3/ On a similar basis, NYC shows you that recent deaths among the unvaccinated is around 30 times higher than among the vaccinated. 37.4 deaths vs 1.2 is multiple times higher.

Here again, please observe the attachments before reading the next tweets.

4/ Back to Cali: 6.5 vs 0.4 is a gap of a factor by 16.

HOWEVER, the 6.5 is 6.5 deaths per million vs 0.4 deaths per million.

Meaning, in the first group 99.99935% remained alive; in the “better” group it was 99.99996%.

Saying this doesn’t appear as scary as “16 times worse!”

In NYC it’s a similar game. Sure, 37.4 is many times over 1.21.

HOWEVER, this is 37.4 deaths per 100,000 unvaccinated people versus 1.21 deaths per 100,000 vaccinated.

Meaning, in the first group 99.9626% remained alive last week. In the other group it was 99.9987%.

6/7 The above is just to show how vaccine fanatics and authoritarians lie to themselves and to you to force you into action.

As a vaccine realist you can handle nuance and intellect while following sound medical advice. This thread is just for info purposes. Let me close:

7/7 Considering that the difference is at the tip end of 99.99+ percentage points among 100J people or 1 million people, imagine if just a few deaths are misclassified.

Indeed, such narrow differences are called statistically insignificant for a reason.

Thanks for reading.

PS 1/

Simple:

If your friend shaves off 5 minutes from a 100 minute trip by speeding and you shave off only 1 minute, the friend saved “5 times more” mins but your trip actually took only 4.21% longer.

The “times more” is how COVID and C19 vaccine data R dishonesty discussed.

PS 2/

The attached is an illustration of how a “50% reduction” of risk can in reality be the gap of 998 out of a 1,000 people doing fine versus 999 people of 1,000 people doing fine.

The “better” group is better by less than 1.1% but it can misleading be sold as 50% better.

P.S. 3

24% to 55% of recent COVID deaths in many US states are among the vaccinated. It’s STATE’s data (see thread in next tweet).

On a national basis this week, this would be 541 to 1,240 DAILY VACCINATED deaths.

What are we doing to help cut those 541-1,240 DAILY deaths?

PS 4/4

Here is a short thread of STATE-sourced data showing recent COVID deaths among C19 vaccinated.

True, true, it’s lower than among the unvaccinated but it’s still many deaths!

Vaccine fanatics kill an added focus on healthy living, therapeutics and better hospital care!

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