A cyclone thread 🧵
Satellite photo from earlier today shows double trouble.
TC Dovi & its discernable eye at the top.
Well ahead of #CycloneDovi is a plume of tropical moisture.
Collectively, this will result in high chances for:
🌧️ heavy rain
🌬️ strong wind
🌊 large waves
As for rain…
These maps show the daily odds of receiving heavy rain.
Red (🔴) is where our modelling predicts a high chance of more than 50 mm of rain.
Some locations will see more than a month's worth of rain in just a few days. This obviously raises flooding concerns.
Here's a different way of looking at the rainfall forecast.
The pink & purple is where the heaviest rain is predicted; mainly western & lower parts of the North Island.
Impacts include:
-Slips
-Flooding
-Washed out roads
Need to watch eastern top of the South Island, too.
What does this mean for river flows?
Our water model shows how rivers and streams will respond to the heavy rain.
Where you see the purple (🟣) colouring is where flows are forecast to be extremely high, and are areas where river flooding may occur.
Now the wind…
Low pressure is like a hole in the atmosphere. Winds will be highest close to & around the centre of the low.
Presently, our modelling indicates 100+ km/h gusts for areas in red (🔴) on Sunday.
Impacts include:
-power cuts
-vegetation & structural damage
Lastly, waves…
Big wind = big waves 🌊
Western & southern parts of the North Island will likely see the largest waves.
Our wave model is forecasting 7-10 metre waves (offshore!) this weekend.
This may cause beach erosion.
‼️ Remember, big waves = strong rip currents ‼️
Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.
A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.