Jalel Harchaoui جلال حرشاوي Profile picture
Analyst focusing on #Libya security & political economy. Do follow me on Bluesky 👉🏻 https://t.co/8Q0yVqu647

Feb 12, 2022, 5 tweets

As armed groups block the Radisson to stop the HCS from gathering, it’s a good time to wonder about the rationale of Khaled al-#Meshri this year.

W/out even holding a proper HCS vote, #Meshri gave Aqila the HCS’s blessing — ie a consequential endorsement of Bashagha.

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This year, #Meshri & Mohammed Sowan have been 100% behind Bashagha.

The latter’s connection to the #Ikhwan, of course, has been long-standing but Feb 2021’s events do help understand the present better.

A year ago—in Geneva—the Bashagha-Saleh ticket was backed by Meshri & Sowan

When #Dabaiba became PM-elect, Saleh’s sympathizers & Egypt- & UAE-based pundits called Dabaiba pro-#Ikhwan.

This was highly inaccurate.

Dabaiba had gone 𝒂𝒈𝒂𝒊𝒏𝒔𝒕 the #Ikhwan.

Dabaiba’s friends in the political Islam milieu have been Sallabi & Muqatilah, 𝒏𝒐𝒕 #Ikhwan.

Bearing that Feb 2021 precedent in mind is useful to anyone looking to understand why Meshri is so deeply against Dabaiba & pro-Aqila at this juncture.

Dabaiba as PM neglected the Ikhwan & gave them no ministry.

Will the #Ikhwan do better cohabiting w/ Haftar, Buzeriba, et al.?

In all cases, a Prime Min Bashagha will be a huge win for #Morocco’s diplomats who’ve been investing time & energy on this Saleh-#Ikhwan compact since Apr 2018, when Meshri emerged as Swehli’s successor at the HCS’s helm.

Almost 4 yrs of Moroccan mediation that may pay off big…

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